2024 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2024: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Cowboys most in 2024: +3.12 points a game, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t. They hurt the Ravens most: −2.92 a game. The Jets drew the most flags, 137.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued in expected points for the team it helped, including any play it wiped out. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, pts per game	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Cowboys	+3.12	67	81	61
2	Vikings	+1.65	53	73	57
3	Steelers	+1.64	55	74	47
4	Rams	+1.18	56	72	35
5	Panthers	+1.16	64	76	54
6	Buccaneers	+1.12	63	67	45
7	Chargers	+0.86	56	66	40
8	Bears	+0.81	50	60	60
9	Seahawks	+0.71	70	68	49
10	Colts	+0.58	51	53	41
11	Lions	+0.48	77	67	29
12	Jets	+0.35	86	72	51
13	Browns	+0.31	56	66	63
14	Texans	+0.29	71	59	48
15	Bengals	+0.11	60	61	41
16	Chiefs	+0.05	64	63	30
17	Falcons	−0.08	59	68	40
18	Jaguars	−0.14	55	53	44
19	Raiders	−0.18	67	62	29
20	Saints	−0.28	72	70	38
21	Cardinals	−0.28	61	59	31
22	Giants	−0.32	53	60	59
23	Dolphins	−0.34	68	69	46
24	Packers	−0.36	62	55	50
25	Bills	−0.37	66	74	46
26	Eagles	−0.42	61	53	42
27	49ers	−1.30	58	47	53
28	Titans	−1.38	70	70	60
29	Commanders	−1.83	68	58	41
30	Broncos	−1.92	69	55	38
31	Patriots	−2.30	68	56	43
32	Ravens	−2.92	91	60	41

Call luck by team

DAL +3.12 1st

MIN +1.65 2nd

PIT +1.64 3rd

LA +1.18 4th

CAR +1.16 5th

TB +1.12 6th

LAC +0.86 7th

CHI +0.81 8th

SEA +0.71 9th

IND +0.58 10th

DET +0.48 11th

NYJ +0.35 12th

CLE +0.31 13th

HOU +0.29 14th

CIN +0.11 15th

KC +0.05 16th

ATL −0.08 17th

JAX −0.14 18th

LV −0.18 19th

NO −0.28 20th

ARI −0.28 21st

NYG −0.32 22nd

MIA −0.34 23rd

GB −0.36 24th

BUF −0.37 25th

PHI −0.42 26th

SF −1.30 27th

TEN −1.38 28th

WAS −1.83 29th

DEN −1.92 30th

NE −2.30 31st

BAL −2.92 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: points per game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team, pts
Clete Blakeman	17	9.1	6.3	−1.14
Craig Wrolstad	18	8.4	6.5	+0.47
Ron Torbert	18	8.9	5.0	+1.66
Shawn Hochuli	17	7.8	6.0	−1.34
Brad Rogers	16	8.3	5.5	−1.48
Alex Kemp	17	8.6	4.9	+0.88
Adrian Hill	17	8.8	4.5	−0.44
Shawn Smith	16	6.6	6.2	+0.08
Scott Novak	16	6.4	6.3	+0.11
Clay Martin	17	7.5	5.2	+1.35
Brad Allen	17	6.6	5.6	+1.22
Tra Blake	16	6.4	5.5	−2.04
Alan Eck	16	7.5	4.1	+0.17
Bill Vinovich	17	5.9	5.6	−0.85
Land Clark	17	6.3	4.9	−0.96
John Hussey	17	7.4	3.7	−0.32
Carl Cheffers	16	6.6	3.9	+0.84

All referees since 2019 · 2024 luck rankings · Expected wins