2024 NFL season · final · regular season
Referee calls, 2024: who they helped
Judgment calls helped the Lions most in 2024: +1.58 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Ravens most: −1.26 wins. The Jets were flagged the most, 137 times.
Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.09), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued
| # | Team | Call luck, wins | Judgment flags against | For | Pre-snap flags against |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lions | +1.58 | 77 | 67 | 29 |
| 2 |  Cowboys | +1.42 | 67 | 81 | 61 |
| 3 |  Vikings | +0.99 | 53 | 73 | 57 |
| 4 |  Rams | +0.78 | 56 | 72 | 35 |
| 5 |  Steelers | +0.68 | 55 | 74 | 47 |
| 6 |  Panthers | +0.63 | 64 | 76 | 54 |
| 7 |  Bengals | +0.58 | 60 | 61 | 41 |
| 8 |  Buccaneers | +0.38 | 63 | 67 | 45 |
| 9 |  Colts | +0.36 | 51 | 53 | 41 |
| 10 |  Seahawks | +0.28 | 70 | 68 | 49 |
| 11 |  Falcons | +0.22 | 59 | 68 | 40 |
| 12 |  Raiders | +0.19 | 67 | 62 | 29 |
| 13 |  Cardinals | +0.16 | 61 | 59 | 31 |
| 14 |  Giants | +0.03 | 53 | 60 | 59 |
| 15 |  Eagles | −0.02 | 61 | 53 | 42 |
| 16 |  Chiefs | −0.07 | 64 | 63 | 30 |
| 17 |  Dolphins | −0.08 | 68 | 69 | 46 |
| 18 |  Bills | −0.10 | 66 | 74 | 46 |
| 19 |  Chargers | −0.15 | 56 | 66 | 40 |
| 20 |  Texans | −0.15 | 71 | 59 | 48 |
| 21 |  Jaguars | −0.25 | 55 | 53 | 44 |
| 22 |  Jets | −0.28 | 86 | 72 | 51 |
| 23 |  Packers | −0.28 | 62 | 55 | 50 |
| 24 |  Bears | −0.33 | 50 | 60 | 60 |
| 25 |  Browns | −0.43 | 56 | 66 | 63 |
| 26 |  Broncos | −0.53 | 69 | 55 | 38 |
| 27 |  Saints | −0.72 | 72 | 70 | 38 |
| 28 |  Titans | −0.76 | 70 | 70 | 60 |
| 29 |  Commanders | −0.87 | 68 | 58 | 41 |
| 30 |  49ers | −0.92 | 58 | 47 | 53 |
| 31 |  Patriots | −1.10 | 68 | 56 | 43 |
| 32 |  Ravens | −1.26 | 91 | 60 | 41 |
Call luck by team
Referee crews
Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.
| Referee | Games | Judgment flags per game | Pre-snap per game | Toward home team |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clete Blakeman | 17 | 9.1 | 6.3 | −3.9% |
| Craig Wrolstad | 18 | 8.4 | 6.5 | −0.7% |
| Ron Torbert | 18 | 8.9 | 5.0 | +2.9% |
| Shawn Hochuli | 17 | 7.8 | 6.0 | −1.1% |
| Brad Rogers | 16 | 8.3 | 5.5 | −7.1% |
| Alex Kemp | 17 | 8.6 | 4.9 | +2.1% |
| Adrian Hill | 17 | 8.8 | 4.5 | −0.2% |
| Shawn Smith | 16 | 6.6 | 6.2 | +2.9% |
| Scott Novak | 16 | 6.4 | 6.3 | +2.0% |
| Clay Martin | 17 | 7.5 | 5.2 | +4.0% |
| Brad Allen | 17 | 6.6 | 5.6 | +2.2% |
| Tra Blake | 16 | 6.4 | 5.5 | −4.1% |
| Alan Eck | 16 | 7.5 | 4.1 | +5.2% |
| Bill Vinovich | 17 | 5.9 | 5.6 | −2.4% |
| Land Clark | 17 | 6.3 | 4.9 | −5.4% |
| John Hussey | 17 | 7.4 | 3.7 | +1.6% |
| Carl Cheffers | 16 | 6.6 | 3.9 | +0.7% |
All referees since 2019 · 2024 luck rankings · Expected wins