luckadjusted
NFL Week 9 · 2026

Referee · 2019–2026

Brad Allen: flags and calls

Brad Allen’s crews have worked 118 games since 2019: 6.8 judgment flags a game, about the same as the league average of 7.4, and 4.8 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +1.1% of a win a game to the home team (league: +0.9%), each weighted by the moment it came.

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, a game
2019158.94.4−2.4%
2020176.43.9−5.4%
2021177.14.2+5.5%
2022176.35.6+2.8%
2023156.04.8+5.1%
2024176.65.6+2.2%
2025165.74.4+2.7%
2026410.07.0−10.6%

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Offensive Holding on the Browns, 9 yards, wiping out the play · CLE at LV, 2024 Week 4 · 42 pts of win probability
  2. Defensive Pass Interference on the Broncos, 1 yard · NYG at DEN, 2025 Week 7 · 39 pts of win probability
  3. Intentional Grounding on the Vikings (Carson Wentz), 16 yards · MIN at PIT, 2025 Week 4 · 31 pts of win probability
  4. Illegal Contact on the Giants (Tre Hawkins), 5 yards, wiping out the play · NYG at WAS, 2023 Week 11 · 30 pts of win probability
  5. Roughing the Passer on the Chargers (Otito Ogbonnia), 15 yards, wiping out the play · CIN at LAC, 2024 Week 11 · 28 pts of win probability
  6. Offensive Holding on the Ravens, 10 yards, wiping out the play · PIT at BAL, 2020 Week 8 · 25 pts of win probability
  7. Offensive Holding on the Seahawks, 10 yards, wiping out the play · SEA at NO, 2022 Week 5 · 24 pts of win probability
  8. Offensive Holding on the Texans, 10 yards, wiping out the play · DAL at HOU, 2026 Week 4 · 23 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 4 Cowboys at Texans DAL 34–30 43% +57
2026 Week 3 Cardinals at 49ers SF 36–30 92% +8
2026 Week 2 Giants at Rams LA 28–6 94% +6
2026 Week 1 Bears at Panthers CHI 59–37 87% +13
2025 Wild Card Bills at Jaguars BUF 27–24 60% +40
2025 Week 18 Panthers at Buccaneers TB 16–14 78% +22
2025 Week 17 Jaguars at Colts JAX 23–17 39% +61
2025 Week 16 Rams at Seahawks SEA 38–37 17% +83
2025 Week 15 Ravens at Bengals BAL 24–0 85% +15
2025 Week 14 Commanders at Vikings MIN 31–0 67% +33
2025 Week 13 49ers at Browns SF 26–8 98% +2
2025 Week 11 Cowboys at Raiders DAL 33–16 94% +6
2025 Week 10 Saints at Panthers NO 17–7 82% +18
2025 Week 9 Falcons at Patriots NE 24–23 86% +14
2025 Week 8 Commanders at Chiefs KC 28–7 65% +35
2025 Week 7 Giants at Broncos DEN 33–32 71% +29
2025 Week 6 Bengals at Packers GB 27–18 93% +7
2025 Week 4 Vikings vs Steelers PIT 24–21 86% +14
2025 Week 2 Browns at Ravens BAL 41–17 95% +5
2025 Week 1 Dolphins at Colts IND 33–8 94% +6
2024 Wild Card Packers at Eagles PHI 22–10 93% +7
2024 Week 18 Texans at Titans HOU 23–14 86% +14
2024 Week 17 Cowboys at Eagles PHI 41–7 98% +2
2024 Week 16 Patriots at Bills BUF 24–21 64% +36
2024 Week 15 Ravens at Giants BAL 35–14 99% +1
2024 Week 13 Rams at Saints LA 21–14 84% +16
2024 Week 12 Steelers at Browns CLE 24–19 26% +74
2024 Week 11 Bengals at Chargers LAC 34–27 31% +69
2024 Week 10 Broncos at Chiefs KC 16–14 81% +19
2024 Week 9 Commanders at Giants WAS 27–22 93% +7
2024 Week 8 Colts at Texans HOU 23–20 89% +11
2024 Week 6 Jaguars vs Bears CHI 35–16 93% +7
2024 Week 5 Packers at Rams GB 24–19 69% +31
2024 Week 4 Browns at Raiders LV 20–16 76% +24
2024 Week 3 Commanders at Bengals WAS 38–33 26% +74
2024 Week 2 49ers at Vikings MIN 23–17 49% +51
2024 Week 1 Broncos at Seahawks SEA 26–20 99% +1
2023 Week 18 Steelers at Ravens PIT 17–10 11% +89
2023 Week 17 Lions at Cowboys DAL 20–19 34% +66
2023 Week 16 Jaguars at Buccaneers TB 30–12 81% +19
2023 Week 15 Bears at Browns CLE 20–17 88% +12
2023 Week 14 Texans at Jets NYJ 30–6 85% +15
2023 Week 13 Chiefs at Packers GB 27–19 42% +58
2023 Week 12 Saints at Falcons ATL 24–15 80% +20
2023 Week 11 Giants at Commanders NYG 31–19 46% +54
2023 Week 10 49ers at Jaguars SF 34–3 98% +2
2023 Week 8 Chiefs at Broncos DEN 24–9 50% +50
2023 Week 7 Dolphins at Eagles PHI 31–17 47% +53
2023 Week 6 Vikings at Bears MIN 19–13 81% +19
2023 Week 4 Ravens at Browns BAL 28–3 94% +6
2023 Week 2 49ers at Rams SF 30–23 81% +19
2023 Week 1 Dolphins at Chargers MIA 36–34 44% +56
2022 Wild Card Dolphins at Bills BUF 34–31 94% +6
2022 Week 18 Vikings at Bears MIN 29–13 63% +37
2022 Week 17 Dolphins at Patriots NE 23–21 57% +43
2022 Week 16 Jaguars at Jets JAX 19–3 93% +7
2022 Week 15 Ravens at Browns CLE 13–3 86% +14
2022 Week 14 Buccaneers at 49ers SF 35–7 98% +2
2022 Week 13 Commanders at Giants NYG 20–20 91% +9
2022 Week 12 Raiders at Seahawks LV 40–34 85% +15
2022 Week 11 Bengals at Steelers CIN 37–30 95% +5
2022 Week 10 Cowboys at Packers GB 31–28 56% +44
2022 Week 8 Cardinals at Vikings MIN 34–26 93% +7
2022 Week 7 Bears at Patriots CHI 33–14 38% +62
2022 Week 6 Bills at Chiefs BUF 24–20 84% +16
2022 Week 5 Seahawks at Saints NO 39–32 47% +53
2022 Week 4 Rams at 49ers SF 24–9 89% +11
2022 Week 2 Bengals at Cowboys DAL 20–17 80% +20
2022 Week 1 Eagles at Lions PHI 38–35 93% +7
2021 Wild Card Patriots at Bills BUF 47–17 96% +4
2021 Week 18 Bears at Vikings MIN 31–17 55% +45
2021 Week 17 Browns at Steelers PIT 26–14 34% +66
2021 Week 16 Buccaneers at Panthers TB 32–6 96% +4
2021 Week 15 Packers at Ravens GB 31–30 80% +20
2021 Week 14 Raiders at Chiefs KC 48–9 96% +4
2021 Week 13 Giants at Dolphins MIA 20–9 74% +26
2021 Week 12 Bills at Saints BUF 31–6 98% +2
2021 Week 10 Seahawks at Packers GB 17–0 80% +20
2021 Week 9 Cardinals at 49ers ARI 31–17 83% +17
2021 Week 8 Panthers at Falcons CAR 19–13 27% +73
2021 Week 7 Chiefs at Titans TEN 27–3 86% +14
2021 Week 6 Cowboys at Patriots DAL 35–29 80% +20
2021 Week 5 Browns at Chargers LAC 47–42 50% +50
2021 Week 4 Jaguars at Bengals CIN 24–21 44% +56
2021 Week 2 49ers at Eagles SF 17–11 49% +51
2021 Week 1 Bears at Rams LA 34–14 89% +11
2020 Wild Card Colts at Bills BUF 27–24 47% +53
2020 Week 17 Cowboys at Giants NYG 23–19 50% +50
2020 Week 16 Titans at Packers GB 40–14 95% +5
2020 Week 15 Patriots at Dolphins MIA 22–12 76% +24
2020 Week 14 Vikings at Buccaneers TB 26–14 82% +18
2020 Week 13 Cowboys at Ravens BAL 34–17 77% +23
2020 Week 12 Seahawks at Eagles SEA 23–17 92% +8
2020 Week 11 Falcons at Saints NO 24–9 93% +7
2020 Week 10 Colts at Titans IND 34–17 65% +35
2020 Week 9 Texans at Jaguars HOU 27–25 63% +37
2020 Week 8 Steelers at Ravens PIT 28–24 35% +65
2020 Week 6 Washington at Giants NYG 20–19 87% +13
2020 Week 5 Panthers at Falcons CAR 23–16 95% +5
2020 Week 4 Chargers at Buccaneers TB 38–31 74% +26
2020 Week 3 Dolphins at Jaguars MIA 31–13 64% +36
2020 Week 2 Rams at Eagles LA 37–19 92% +8
2020 Week 1 Raiders at Panthers LV 34–30 86% +14
2019 Week 17 Colts at Jaguars JAX 38–20 56% +44
2019 Week 16 Bengals at Dolphins MIA 38–35 79% +21
2019 Week 15 Browns at Cardinals ARI 38–24 85% +15
2019 Week 14 Titans at Raiders TEN 42–21 89% +11
2019 Week 13 49ers at Ravens BAL 20–17 67% +33
2019 Week 11 Chiefs vs Chargers KC 24–17 36% +64
2019 Week 10 Falcons at Saints ATL 26–9 47% +53
2019 Week 9 Colts at Steelers PIT 26–24 24% +76
2019 Week 8 Jets at Jaguars JAX 29–15 89% +11
2019 Week 7 Ravens at Seahawks BAL 30–16 63% +37
2019 Week 6 Giants at Patriots NE 35–14 59% +41
2019 Week 5 Buccaneers at Saints NO 31–24 86% +14
2019 Week 4 Vikings at Bears CHI 16–6 57% +43
2019 Week 2 Eagles at Falcons ATL 24–20 90% +10
2019 Week 1 Titans at Browns TEN 43–13 87% +13