luckadjusted

Referee · 2019–2026

Brad Allen: flags and calls

Brad Allen’s crews have worked 116 games since 2019: 6.7 judgment flags a game, about the same as the league average of 7.4, and 4.8 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +0.50 points a game to the home team (league: +0.24).

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, pts
2019158.94.4−0.47
2020176.43.9−1.12
2021177.14.2+1.05
2022176.35.6+0.70
2023156.04.8+2.18
2024176.65.6+1.22
2025165.74.4+0.49
202628.57.5−3.64

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Illegal Contact on the Giants (Tre Hawkins), 5 yards, wiping out the play · NYG at WAS, 2023 Week 11 · 63 pts of win probability
  2. Offensive Holding on the Browns, 9 yards, wiping out the play · CLE at LV, 2024 Week 4 · 42 pts of win probability
  3. Defensive Pass Interference on the Broncos, 1 yards · NYG at DEN, 2025 Week 7 · 39 pts of win probability
  4. Intentional Grounding on the Vikings (Carson Wentz), 16 yards · MIN at PIT, 2025 Week 4 · 31 pts of win probability
  5. Roughing the Passer on the Chargers (Otito Ogbonnia), 15 yards, wiping out the play · CIN at LAC, 2024 Week 11 · 29 pts of win probability
  6. Offensive Holding on the Ravens, 10 yards, wiping out the play · PIT at BAL, 2020 Week 8 · 25 pts of win probability
  7. Offensive Holding on the Seahawks, 10 yards, wiping out the play · SEA at NO, 2022 Week 5 · 24 pts of win probability
  8. Roughing the Passer on the Broncos (John Franklin-Myers), 15 yards · NYG at DEN, 2025 Week 7 · 21 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 2 Giants at Rams LA 28–6 94% +6
2026 Week 1 Bears at Panthers CHI 59–37 76% +25
2025 Wild Card Bills at Jaguars BUF 27–24 44% +56
2025 Week 18 Panthers at Buccaneers TB 16–14 79% +21
2025 Week 17 Jaguars at Colts JAX 23–17 41% +59
2025 Week 16 Rams at Seahawks SEA 38–37 29% +71
2025 Week 15 Ravens at Bengals BAL 24–0 83% +17
2025 Week 14 Commanders at Vikings MIN 31–0 68% +32
2025 Week 13 49ers at Browns SF 26–8 95% +5
2025 Week 11 Cowboys at Raiders DAL 33–16 94% +6
2025 Week 10 Saints at Panthers NO 17–7 69% +31
2025 Week 9 Falcons at Patriots NE 24–23 85% +15
2025 Week 8 Commanders at Chiefs KC 28–7 66% +34
2025 Week 7 Giants at Broncos DEN 33–32 52% +48
2025 Week 6 Bengals at Packers GB 27–18 97% +3
2025 Week 4 Vikings vs Steelers PIT 24–21 75% +25
2025 Week 2 Browns at Ravens BAL 41–17 86% +14
2025 Week 1 Dolphins at Colts IND 33–8 94% +6
2024 Wild Card Packers at Eagles PHI 22–10 84% +16
2024 Week 18 Texans at Titans HOU 23–14 76% +24
2024 Week 17 Cowboys at Eagles PHI 41–7 95% +5
2024 Week 16 Patriots at Bills BUF 24–21 65% +35
2024 Week 15 Ravens at Giants BAL 35–14 98% +2
2024 Week 13 Rams at Saints LA 21–14 75% +25
2024 Week 12 Steelers at Browns CLE 24–19 28% +72
2024 Week 11 Bengals at Chargers LAC 34–27 50% +50
2024 Week 10 Broncos at Chiefs KC 16–14 91% +9
2024 Week 9 Commanders at Giants WAS 27–22 93% +7
2024 Week 8 Colts at Texans HOU 23–20 88% +12
2024 Week 6 Jaguars vs Bears CHI 35–16 93% +7
2024 Week 5 Packers at Rams GB 24–19 67% +33
2024 Week 4 Browns at Raiders LV 20–16 65% +35
2024 Week 3 Commanders at Bengals WAS 38–33 18% +82
2024 Week 2 49ers at Vikings MIN 23–17 47% +53
2024 Week 1 Broncos at Seahawks SEA 26–20 99% +1
2023 Week 18 Steelers at Ravens PIT 17–10 17% +83
2023 Week 17 Lions at Cowboys DAL 20–19 39% +61
2023 Week 16 Jaguars at Buccaneers TB 30–12 81% +19
2023 Week 15 Bears at Browns CLE 20–17 88% +12
2023 Week 14 Texans at Jets NYJ 30–6 65% +35
2023 Week 13 Chiefs at Packers GB 27–19 25% +75
2023 Week 12 Saints at Falcons ATL 24–15 80% +20
2023 Week 11 Giants at Commanders NYG 31–19 29% +71
2023 Week 10 49ers at Jaguars SF 34–3 95% +5
2023 Week 8 Chiefs at Broncos DEN 24–9 39% +61
2023 Week 7 Dolphins at Eagles PHI 31–17 48% +52
2023 Week 6 Vikings at Bears MIN 19–13 67% +33
2023 Week 4 Ravens at Browns BAL 28–3 94% +6
2023 Week 2 49ers at Rams SF 30–23 66% +34
2023 Week 1 Dolphins at Chargers MIA 36–34 58% +42
2022 Wild Card Dolphins at Bills BUF 34–31 93% +7
2022 Week 18 Vikings at Bears MIN 29–13 65% +35
2022 Week 17 Dolphins at Patriots NE 23–21 41% +59
2022 Week 16 Jaguars at Jets JAX 19–3 92% +8
2022 Week 15 Ravens at Browns CLE 13–3 79% +21
2022 Week 14 Buccaneers at 49ers SF 35–7 96% +4
2022 Week 13 Commanders at Giants NYG 20–20 91% +9
2022 Week 12 Raiders at Seahawks LV 40–34 86% +14
2022 Week 11 Bengals at Steelers CIN 37–30 94% +6
2022 Week 10 Cowboys at Packers GB 31–28 46% +54
2022 Week 8 Cardinals at Vikings MIN 34–26 88% +12
2022 Week 7 Bears at Patriots CHI 33–14 41% +59
2022 Week 6 Bills at Chiefs BUF 24–20 70% +30
2022 Week 5 Seahawks at Saints NO 39–32 50% +50
2022 Week 4 Rams at 49ers SF 24–9 83% +17
2022 Week 2 Bengals at Cowboys DAL 20–17 79% +21
2022 Week 1 Eagles at Lions PHI 38–35 88% +12
2021 Wild Card Patriots at Bills BUF 47–17 94% +6
2021 Week 18 Bears at Vikings MIN 31–17 54% +46
2021 Week 17 Browns at Steelers PIT 26–14 38% +62
2021 Week 16 Buccaneers at Panthers TB 32–6 96% +4
2021 Week 15 Packers at Ravens GB 31–30 77% +23
2021 Week 14 Raiders at Chiefs KC 48–9 96% +4
2021 Week 13 Giants at Dolphins MIA 20–9 71% +29
2021 Week 12 Bills at Saints BUF 31–6 98% +2
2021 Week 10 Seahawks at Packers GB 17–0 79% +21
2021 Week 9 Cardinals at 49ers ARI 31–17 84% +16
2021 Week 8 Panthers at Falcons CAR 19–13 32% +68
2021 Week 7 Chiefs at Titans TEN 27–3 86% +14
2021 Week 6 Cowboys at Patriots DAL 35–29 82% +18
2021 Week 5 Browns at Chargers LAC 47–42 53% +47
2021 Week 4 Jaguars at Bengals CIN 24–21 42% +58
2021 Week 2 49ers at Eagles SF 17–11 47% +53
2021 Week 1 Bears at Rams LA 34–14 91% +9
2020 Wild Card Colts at Bills BUF 27–24 43% +57
2020 Week 17 Cowboys at Giants NYG 23–19 52% +48
2020 Week 16 Titans at Packers GB 40–14 95% +5
2020 Week 15 Patriots at Dolphins MIA 22–12 76% +24
2020 Week 14 Vikings at Buccaneers TB 26–14 85% +15
2020 Week 13 Cowboys at Ravens BAL 34–17 77% +23
2020 Week 12 Seahawks at Eagles SEA 23–17 92% +8
2020 Week 11 Falcons at Saints NO 24–9 92% +8
2020 Week 10 Colts at Titans IND 34–17 67% +33
2020 Week 9 Texans at Jaguars HOU 27–25 60% +40
2020 Week 8 Steelers at Ravens PIT 28–24 37% +63
2020 Week 6 Washington at Giants NYG 20–19 86% +14
2020 Week 5 Panthers at Falcons CAR 23–16 95% +5
2020 Week 4 Chargers at Buccaneers TB 38–31 72% +28
2020 Week 3 Dolphins at Jaguars MIA 31–13 65% +35
2020 Week 2 Rams at Eagles LA 37–19 90% +10
2020 Week 1 Raiders at Panthers LV 34–30 86% +14
2019 Week 17 Colts at Jaguars JAX 38–20 59% +41
2019 Week 16 Bengals at Dolphins MIA 38–35 78% +22
2019 Week 15 Browns at Cardinals ARI 38–24 86% +14
2019 Week 14 Titans at Raiders TEN 42–21 88% +12
2019 Week 13 49ers at Ravens BAL 20–17 69% +31
2019 Week 11 Chiefs vs Chargers KC 24–17 36% +64
2019 Week 10 Falcons at Saints ATL 26–9 47% +53
2019 Week 9 Colts at Steelers PIT 26–24 25% +75
2019 Week 8 Jets at Jaguars JAX 29–15 89% +11
2019 Week 7 Ravens at Seahawks BAL 30–16 64% +36
2019 Week 6 Giants at Patriots NE 35–14 64% +36
2019 Week 5 Buccaneers at Saints NO 31–24 85% +15
2019 Week 4 Vikings at Bears CHI 16–6 61% +39
2019 Week 2 Eagles at Falcons ATL 24–20 88% +12
2019 Week 1 Titans at Browns TEN 43–13 87% +13