2019 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2019: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Packers most in 2019: +2.82 points a game, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t. They hurt the Saints most: −4.79 a game. The Buccaneers drew the most flags, 133.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued in expected points for the team it helped, including any play it wiped out. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, pts per game	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Packers	+2.82	54	79	45
2	Dolphins	+2.23	62	84	30
3	Steelers	+1.85	64	81	47
4	Broncos	+1.65	78	78	32
5	Colts	+1.52	59	75	20
6	Texans	+1.51	58	76	53
7	Patriots	+1.40	67	72	27
8	Bengals	+1.40	56	79	37
9	Cardinals	+1.37	75	77	46
10	Falcons	+1.24	79	77	40
11	Bears	+0.96	69	78	34
12	Giants	+0.90	66	73	24
13	Panthers	+0.84	55	67	32
14	Titans	+0.65	66	82	33
15	49ers	+0.58	67	76	38
16	Eagles	+0.34	68	71	32
17	Bills	+0.20	69	58	47
18	Washington	+0.18	70	63	35
19	Chargers	+0.07	68	73	35
20	Seahawks	−0.19	63	63	46
21	Browns	−0.56	79	65	43
22	Cowboys	−0.64	72	68	37
23	Buccaneers	−0.96	76	71	57
24	Lions	−1.03	79	77	34
25	Rams	−1.35	69	63	49
26	Vikings	−1.44	69	61	27
27	Chiefs	−1.57	84	76	23
28	Ravens	−1.95	68	54	41
29	Jaguars	−2.00	97	68	35
30	Raiders	−2.11	85	65	43
31	Jets	−3.13	88	67	27
32	Saints	−4.79	92	54	28

Call luck by team

GB +2.82 1st

MIA +2.23 2nd

PIT +1.85 3rd

DEN +1.65 4th

IND +1.52 5th

HOU +1.51 6th

NE +1.40 7th

CIN +1.40 8th

ARI +1.37 9th

ATL +1.24 10th

CHI +0.96 11th

NYG +0.90 12th

CAR +0.84 13th

TEN +0.65 14th

SF +0.58 15th

PHI +0.34 16th

BUF +0.20 17th

WAS +0.18 18th

LAC +0.07 19th

SEA −0.19 20th

CLE −0.56 21st

DAL −0.64 22nd

TB −0.96 23rd

DET −1.03 24th

LA −1.35 25th

MIN −1.44 26th

KC −1.57 27th

BAL −1.95 28th

JAX −2.00 29th

OAK −2.11 30th

NYJ −3.13 31st

NO −4.79 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: points per game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team, pts
Walt Anderson	17	9.9	5.4	+0.15
Craig Wrolstad	15	9.9	5.3	+0.42
Adrian Hill	15	9.3	5.3	−1.93
Jerome Boger	15	9.8	4.5	+0.37
Bradley Rogers	15	9.4	4.9	+0.70
Shawn Smith	16	9.6	4.6	+3.17
Alex Kemp	15	9.3	4.8	+2.60
Tony Corrente	17	8.8	5.2	+0.87
Brad Allen	15	8.9	4.4	−0.47
Ronald Torbert	15	8.8	4.5	+1.04
Carl Cheffers	16	9.8	3.6	+0.40
Shawn Hochuli	16	8.9	3.7	+1.26
Clay Martin	15	7.1	5.1	+0.40
John Hussey	17	7.7	4.4	+1.58
Clete Blakeman	16	7.0	4.7	−0.58
Bill Vinovich	17	7.1	4.4	+0.09
Scott Novak	15	7.4	3.9	+1.48

All referees since 2019 · 2019 luck rankings · Expected wins