2019 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2019: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Packers most in 2019: +1.29 wins, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t, each weighted by the moment it came. They hurt the Saints most: −1.81 wins. The Buccaneers were flagged the most, 133 times.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued by what it did to the helped team’s chance of winning at that moment, including any play it wiped out, so a call in a decided game counts for nothing and one at the turn of a close game for most of a win. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.09), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, wins	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Packers	+1.29	54	79	45
2	Panthers	+1.12	55	67	32
3	Steelers	+0.97	64	81	47
4	Texans	+0.95	58	76	53
5	Dolphins	+0.94	62	84	30
6	49ers	+0.77	67	76	38
7	Patriots	+0.59	67	72	27
8	Broncos	+0.50	78	78	32
9	Giants	+0.49	66	73	24
10	Falcons	+0.40	79	77	40
11	Titans	+0.37	66	82	33
12	Colts	+0.28	59	75	20
13	Bears	+0.23	69	78	34
14	Bengals	+0.12	56	79	37
15	Bills	+0.02	69	58	47
16	Browns	−0.04	79	65	43
17	Cowboys	−0.15	72	68	37
18	Seahawks	−0.17	63	63	46
19	Cardinals	−0.19	75	77	46
20	Lions	−0.21	79	77	34
21	Vikings	−0.24	69	61	27
22	Washington	−0.25	70	63	35
23	Chiefs	−0.35	84	76	23
24	Chargers	−0.42	68	73	35
25	Jets	−0.45	88	67	27
26	Rams	−0.46	69	63	49
27	Buccaneers	−0.50	76	71	57
28	Eagles	−0.53	68	71	32
29	Ravens	−0.78	68	54	41
30	Raiders	−1.23	85	65	43
31	Jaguars	−1.26	97	68	35
32	Saints	−1.81	92	54	28

Call luck by team

GB +1.29 1st

CAR +1.12 2nd

PIT +0.97 3rd

HOU +0.95 4th

MIA +0.94 5th

SF +0.77 6th

NE +0.59 7th

DEN +0.50 8th

NYG +0.49 9th

ATL +0.40 10th

TEN +0.37 11th

IND +0.28 12th

CHI +0.23 13th

CIN +0.12 14th

BUF +0.02 15th

CLE −0.04 16th

DAL −0.15 17th

SEA −0.17 18th

ARI −0.19 19th

DET −0.21 20th

MIN −0.24 21st

WAS −0.25 22nd

KC −0.35 23rd

LAC −0.42 24th

NYJ −0.45 25th

LA −0.46 26th

TB −0.50 27th

PHI −0.53 28th

BAL −0.78 29th

OAK −1.23 30th

JAX −1.26 31st

NO −1.81 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: share of a win a game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team
Walt Anderson	17	9.9	5.4	0.0%
Craig Wrolstad	15	9.9	5.3	+7.0%
Adrian Hill	15	9.3	5.3	−6.8%
Jerome Boger	15	9.8	4.5	+4.5%
Bradley Rogers	15	9.4	4.9	−0.1%
Shawn Smith	16	9.6	4.6	+10.7%
Alex Kemp	15	9.3	4.8	+4.5%
Tony Corrente	17	8.8	5.2	−2.7%
Brad Allen	15	8.9	4.4	−2.4%
Ronald Torbert	15	8.8	4.5	+4.0%
Carl Cheffers	16	9.8	3.6	+1.8%
Shawn Hochuli	16	8.9	3.7	+1.3%
Clay Martin	15	7.1	5.1	−2.9%
John Hussey	17	7.7	4.4	−0.3%
Clete Blakeman	16	7.0	4.7	+0.2%
Bill Vinovich	17	7.1	4.4	+0.3%
Scott Novak	15	7.4	3.9	+5.6%

All referees since 2019 · 2019 luck rankings · Expected wins