luckadjusted
NFL Week 9 · 2026

Referee · 2019–2026

Bill Vinovich: flags and calls

Bill Vinovich’s crews have worked 122 games since 2019: 6.2 judgment flags a game, fewer than the league average of 7.4, and 4.7 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +0.3% of a win a game to the home team (league: +0.9%), each weighted by the moment it came.

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, a game
2019177.14.4+0.3%
2020165.74.3−0.3%
2021175.23.9+2.9%
2022174.44.1+4.3%
2023186.74.9−3.7%
2024175.95.6−2.4%
2025178.15.5−2.8%
202638.06.0+22.5%

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Defensive Pass Interference on the Rams (Josh Wallace), 4 yards, wiping out the play · LA at DEN, 2026 Week 3 · 59 pts of win probability
  2. Offensive Pass Interference on the Giants (Golden Tate), 0 yards · NYG at CHI, 2020 Week 2 · 46 pts of win probability
  3. Defensive Pass Interference on the Bills (Taron Johnson), 28 yards · DEN at BUF, 2023 Week 10 · 29 pts of win probability
  4. Offensive Pass Interference on the Cowboys (George Pickens), 10 yards, wiping out the play · NYG at DAL, 2025 Week 2 · 29 pts of win probability
  5. Offensive Holding on the 49ers (Eric Saubert), 10 yards, wiping out the play · DAL at SF, 2024 Week 8 · 23 pts of win probability
  6. Illegal Use of Hands on the Buccaneers, 9 yards, wiping out the play · TB at NE, 2021 Week 4 · 22 pts of win probability
  7. Offensive Pass Interference on the Raiders (Dont'e Thornton), 10 yards, wiping out the play · LV at DEN, 2025 Week 10 · 21 pts of win probability
  8. Defensive Pass Interference on the Bears (Eddie Jackson), 8 yards, wiping out the play · NYG at CHI, 2020 Week 2 · 21 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 4 Patriots at Bills NE 29–26 77% +23
2026 Week 3 Rams at Broncos DEN 30–26 7% +93
2026 Week 2 Raiders at Chargers LV 26–14 71% +29
2025 Week 18 Seahawks at 49ers SEA 13–3 55% +45
2025 Week 17 Broncos at Chiefs DEN 20–13 59% +41
2025 Week 16 Bills at Browns BUF 23–20 97% +3
2025 Week 15 Commanders at Giants WAS 29–21 58% +42
2025 Week 14 Dolphins at Jets MIA 34–10 97% +3
2025 Week 13 Cardinals at Buccaneers TB 20–17 7% +93
2025 Week 12 Eagles at Cowboys DAL 24–21 88% +12
2025 Week 11 Bengals at Steelers PIT 34–12 87% +13
2025 Week 10 Raiders at Broncos DEN 10–7 45% +55
2025 Week 9 Seahawks at Commanders SEA 38–14 82% +18
2025 Week 7 Eagles at Vikings PHI 28–22 71% +29
2025 Week 6 Chargers at Dolphins LAC 29–27 73% +27
2025 Week 5 49ers at Rams SF 26–23 26% +74
2025 Week 4 Panthers at Patriots NE 42–13 74% +26
2025 Week 3 Lions at Ravens DET 38–30 76% +24
2025 Week 2 Giants at Cowboys DAL 40–37 12% +88
2025 Week 1 Steelers at Jets PIT 34–32 7% +93
2024 Wild Card Broncos at Bills BUF 31–7 96% +4
2024 Week 18 Seahawks at Rams SEA 30–25 42% +58
2024 Week 17 Colts at Giants NYG 45–33 46% +54
2024 Week 16 Steelers at Ravens BAL 34–17 94% +6
2024 Week 15 Cowboys at Panthers DAL 30–14 89% +11
2024 Week 14 Chargers at Chiefs KC 19–17 80% +20
2024 Week 13 Cardinals at Vikings MIN 23–22 56% +44
2024 Week 11 Packers at Bears GB 20–19 86% +14
2024 Week 10 Lions at Texans DET 26–23 56% +44
2024 Week 9 Chargers at Browns LAC 27–10 98% +2
2024 Week 8 Cowboys at 49ers SF 30–24 98% +2
2024 Week 7 Seahawks at Falcons SEA 34–14 57% +43
2024 Week 5 Ravens at Bengals BAL 41–38 53% +47
2024 Week 4 Vikings at Packers MIN 31–29 74% +26
2024 Week 3 Panthers at Raiders CAR 36–22 68% +32
2024 Week 2 Bills at Dolphins BUF 31–10 80% +20
2024 Week 1 Commanders at Buccaneers TB 37–20 71% +29
Super Bowl LVIII (2024) 49ers vs Chiefs KC 25–22 16% +84
2023 Divisional round Buccaneers at Lions DET 31–23 73% +27
2023 Week 18 Texans at Colts HOU 23–19 38% +62
2023 Week 17 Cardinals at Eagles ARI 35–31 58% +42
2023 Week 16 Ravens at 49ers BAL 33–19 89% +11
2023 Week 15 Vikings at Bengals CIN 27–24 25% +75
2023 Week 13 Chargers at Patriots LAC 6–0 75% +25
2023 Week 12 Commanders at Cowboys DAL 45–10 89% +11
2023 Week 11 Raiders at Dolphins MIA 20–13 89% +11
2023 Week 10 Broncos at Bills DEN 24–22 47% +53
2023 Week 9 Colts at Panthers IND 27–13 79% +21
2023 Week 8 Browns at Seahawks SEA 24–20 41% +59
2023 Week 6 Ravens vs Titans BAL 24–16 59% +41
2023 Week 5 Eagles at Rams PHI 23–14 82% +18
2023 Week 4 Steelers at Texans HOU 30–6 93% +7
2023 Week 3 Patriots at Jets NE 15–10 86% +14
2023 Week 2 Bears at Buccaneers TB 27–17 95% +5
2023 Week 1 Raiders at Broncos LV 17–16 40% +60
2022 Divisional round Cowboys at 49ers SF 19–12 77% +23
2022 Week 18 Titans at Jaguars JAX 20–16 74% +26
2022 Week 17 Browns at Commanders CLE 24–10 94% +6
2022 Week 16 Falcons at Ravens BAL 17–9 79% +21
2022 Week 15 Dolphins at Bills BUF 32–29 81% +19
2022 Week 14 Panthers at Seahawks CAR 30–24 55% +45
2022 Week 12 Steelers at Colts PIT 24–17 84% +16
2022 Week 11 Titans at Packers TEN 27–17 86% +14
2022 Week 10 Texans at Giants NYG 24–16 94% +6
2022 Week 9 Raiders at Jaguars JAX 27–20 95% +5
2022 Week 8 Bengals at Browns CLE 32–13 81% +19
2022 Week 7 Jets at Broncos NYJ 16–9 73% +27
2022 Week 5 Cowboys at Rams DAL 22–10 35% +65
2022 Week 4 Chiefs at Buccaneers KC 41–31 48% +52
2022 Week 3 Ravens at Patriots BAL 37–26 63% +37
2022 Week 2 Commanders at Lions DET 36–27 54% +46
2022 Week 1 Packers at Vikings MIN 23–7 56% +44
2021 AFC Championship Bengals at Chiefs CIN 27–24 17% +83
2021 Week 18 Bengals at Browns CLE 21–16 89% +11
2021 Week 17 Rams at Ravens LA 20–19 82% +18
2021 Week 16 Washington at Cowboys DAL 56–14 87% +13
2021 Week 14 Jaguars at Titans TEN 20–0 90% +10
2021 Week 13 Patriots at Bills NE 14–10 52% +48
2021 Week 12 Steelers at Bengals CIN 41–10 96% +4
2021 Week 11 Washington at Panthers WAS 27–21 68% +32
2021 Week 10 Chiefs at Raiders KC 41–14 84% +16
2021 Week 9 Broncos at Cowboys DEN 30–16 55% +45
2021 Week 7 Lions at Rams LA 28–19 87% +13
2021 Week 6 Chargers at Ravens BAL 34–6 70% +30
2021 Week 5 Packers at Bengals GB 25–22 85% +15
2021 Week 4 Buccaneers at Patriots TB 19–17 78% +22
2021 Week 3 Colts at Titans TEN 25–16 63% +37
2021 Week 2 Vikings at Cardinals ARI 34–33 72% +28
2021 Week 1 Browns at Chiefs KC 33–29 71% +29
2020 AFC Championship Bills at Chiefs KC 38–24 85% +15
2020 Week 17 Dolphins at Bills BUF 56–26 96% +4
2020 Week 16 Rams at Seahawks SEA 20–9 65% +35
2020 Week 15 Texans at Colts IND 27–20 85% +15
2020 Week 14 Ravens at Browns BAL 47–42 65% +35
2020 Week 13 Eagles at Packers GB 30–16 90% +10
2020 Week 12 Cardinals at Patriots NE 20–17 35% +65
2020 Week 11 Cowboys at Vikings DAL 31–28 55% +45
2020 Week 9 Packers at 49ers GB 34–17 70% +30
2020 Week 8 Raiders at Browns LV 16–6 85% +15
2020 Week 7 Bears at Rams LA 24–10 79% +21
2020 Week 6 Jets at Dolphins MIA 24–0 98% +2
2020 Week 5 Jaguars at Texans HOU 30–14 92% +8
2020 Week 4 Eagles at 49ers PHI 25–20 12% +88
2020 Week 2 Giants at Bears CHI 17–13 21% +79
2020 Week 1 Packers at Vikings GB 43–34 30% +70
Super Bowl LIV (2020) 49ers vs Chiefs KC 31–20 51% +49
2019 Divisional round Titans at Ravens TEN 28–12 58% +42
2019 Week 17 Steelers at Ravens BAL 28–10 97% +3
2019 Week 16 Packers at Vikings GB 23–10 77% +23
2019 Week 15 Texans at Titans HOU 24–21 72% +28
2019 Week 14 Chargers at Jaguars LAC 45–10 97% +3
2019 Week 13 Bills at Cowboys BUF 26–15 41% +59
2019 Week 12 Lions at Washington WAS 19–16 11% +89
2019 Week 11 Patriots at Eagles NE 17–10 43% +57
2019 Week 9 Browns at Broncos DEN 24–19 68% +32
2019 Week 8 Packers at Chiefs GB 31–24 42% +58
2019 Week 7 Chargers at Titans TEN 23–20 20% +80
2019 Week 6 49ers at Rams SF 20–7 91% +9
2019 Week 4 Bengals at Steelers PIT 27–3 77% +23
2019 Week 3 Giants at Buccaneers NYG 32–31 19% +81
2019 Week 2 Patriots at Dolphins NE 43–0 98% +2
2019 Week 1 Falcons at Vikings MIN 28–12 26% +74