2025 NFL season · final · regular season

Referee calls, 2025: who they helped

Judgment calls helped the Bengals most in 2025: +1.90 points a game, the calls that went their way minus the ones that didn’t. They hurt the Broncos most: −2.82 a game. The Cowboys drew the most flags, 133.

Judgment calls are the flags an official has to judge: holding, pass interference, roughing and the like. Each is valued in expected points for the team it helped, including any play it wiped out. Week to week a team’s call luck barely repeats (correlation 0.06), which is what chance looks like. How calls are valued

#	Team	Call luck, pts per game	Judgment flags against	For	Pre-snap flags against
1	Bengals	+1.90	48	62	40
2	Giants	+1.58	68	86	60
3	Chargers	+1.46	53	65	51
4	Rams	+1.45	47	73	28
5	Cowboys	+1.08	80	80	53
6	Steelers	+1.06	62	65	39
7	Jets	+1.00	64	58	46
8	Seahawks	+0.91	61	66	39
9	49ers	+0.88	53	64	30
10	Jaguars	+0.77	82	69	45
11	Buccaneers	+0.76	61	78	34
12	Panthers	+0.51	56	67	39
13	Falcons	+0.43	56	60	52
14	Vikings	+0.37	58	59	53
15	Ravens	+0.23	51	58	48
16	Commanders	+0.21	66	73	51
17	Raiders	−0.07	63	67	45
18	Patriots	−0.13	63	66	36
19	Saints	−0.17	65	69	53
20	Bills	−0.19	72	56	29
21	Packers	−0.30	63	56	42
22	Browns	−0.30	59	63	49
23	Colts	−0.56	67	64	35
24	Texans	−0.82	76	76	42
25	Cardinals	−0.86	72	56	43
26	Titans	−0.89	73	56	56
27	Dolphins	−0.92	60	57	41
28	Bears	−1.43	65	58	55
29	Chiefs	−1.49	80	62	39
30	Eagles	−1.72	74	55	43
31	Lions	−1.92	60	55	44
32	Broncos	−2.82	81	60	42

Call luck by team

CIN +1.90 1st

NYG +1.58 2nd

LAC +1.46 3rd

LA +1.45 4th

DAL +1.08 5th

PIT +1.06 6th

NYJ +1.00 7th

SEA +0.91 8th

SF +0.88 9th

JAX +0.77 10th

TB +0.76 11th

CAR +0.51 12th

ATL +0.43 13th

MIN +0.37 14th

BAL +0.23 15th

WAS +0.21 16th

LV −0.07 17th

NE −0.13 18th

NO −0.17 19th

BUF −0.19 20th

GB −0.30 21st

CLE −0.30 22nd

IND −0.56 23rd

HOU −0.82 24th

ARI −0.86 25th

TEN −0.89 26th

MIA −0.92 27th

CHI −1.43 28th

KC −1.49 29th

PHI −1.72 30th

DET −1.92 31st

DEN −2.82 32nd

Referee crews

Flags per game in each crew’s games, and how the judgment calls leaned: points per game toward the home team.

Referee	Games	Judgment flags per game	Pre-snap per game	Toward home team, pts
Alex Moore	16	9.8	6.4	−0.04
Carl Cheffers	17	8.4	5.9	+0.18
Adrian Hill	15	8.4	5.8	−1.95
Shawn Hochuli	17	8.7	5.2	+0.24
Bill Vinovich	17	8.1	5.5	−0.65
Brad Rogers	16	7.9	5.4	+1.08
Clete Blakeman	17	7.5	5.3	+1.57
Ron Torbert	17	6.6	5.7	−0.75
Clay Martin	17	7.5	4.6	−1.47
Alex Kemp	18	7.5	4.5	−0.56
Shawn Smith	17	7.4	4.5	+0.47
Scott Novak	17	7.0	4.8	−1.30
Craig Wrolstad	18	6.9	4.7	+0.76
John Hussey	17	6.1	5.1	−0.92
Land Clark	16	6.4	4.6	+0.72
Alan Eck	17	6.5	4.3	+1.20
Brad Allen	16	5.7	4.4	+0.49

All referees since 2019 · 2025 luck rankings · Expected wins