luckadjusted

Referee · 2023–2026

Alan Eck: flags and calls

Alan Eck’s crews have worked 52 games since 2023: 6.6 judgment flags a game, fewer than the league average of 7.4, and 4.2 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +0.77 points a game to the home team (league: +0.24).

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, pts
2023175.74.2+1.09
2024167.54.1+0.17
2025176.54.3+1.20
202627.54.0−0.87

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Offensive Pass Interference on the Bears (Cole Kmet), 10 yards, wiping out the play · CHI at DET, 2024 Week 13 · 40 pts of win probability
  2. Illegal Use of Hands on the Bears, 10 yards, wiping out the play · CHI at DET, 2024 Week 13 · 37 pts of win probability
  3. Defensive Pass Interference on the Lions (Kindle Vildor), 29 yards · CHI at DET, 2024 Week 13 · 34 pts of win probability
  4. Ineligible Downfield Pass on the Cardinals, 5 yards, wiping out the play · ARI at WAS, 2023 Week 1 · 31 pts of win probability
  5. Roughing the Passer on the Raiders (Matthew Butler), 12 yards, wiping out the play · PIT at LV, 2024 Week 6 · 19 pts of win probability
  6. Defensive Pass Interference on the Jaguars (Travis Hunter), 25 yards · JAX at CIN, 2025 Week 2 · 19 pts of win probability
  7. Roughing the Kicker on the Dolphins (Zach Sieler), 15 yards · MIA at BUF, 2025 Week 3 · 18 pts of win probability
  8. Defensive Pass Interference on the Giants (Deonte Banks), 25 yards, wiping out the play · NYG at NO, 2025 Week 5 · 16 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 2 Seahawks at Cardinals SEA 31–7 70% +30
2026 Week 1 Saints at Lions DET 31–30 41% +59
2025 Wild Card 49ers at Eagles SF 23–19 93% +7
2025 Week 18 Jets at Bills BUF 35–8 100% 0
2025 Week 17 Ravens at Packers BAL 41–24 33% +67
2025 Week 16 Chargers at Cowboys LAC 34–17 66% +34
2025 Week 15 Lions at Rams LA 41–34 84% +16
2025 Week 14 Texans at Chiefs HOU 20–10 11% +89
2025 Week 13 Saints at Dolphins MIA 21–17 70% +30
2025 Week 11 Jets at Patriots NE 27–14 97% +3
2025 Week 10 Cardinals at Seahawks SEA 44–22 84% +16
2025 Week 9 Jaguars at Raiders JAX 30–29 23% +77
2025 Week 8 49ers at Texans HOU 26–15 46% +54
2025 Week 7 Colts at Chargers IND 38–24 56% +44
2025 Week 5 Giants at Saints NO 26–14 76% +24
2025 Week 4 Eagles at Buccaneers PHI 31–25 25% +75
2025 Week 3 Dolphins at Bills BUF 31–21 88% +12
2025 Week 2 Jaguars at Bengals CIN 31–27 69% +31
2025 Week 1 Vikings at Bears MIN 27–24 92% +8
2024 Week 18 Bills at Patriots NE 23–16 26% +74
2024 Week 17 Ravens at Texans BAL 31–2 97% +3
2024 Week 15 Steelers at Eagles PHI 27–13 84% +16
2024 Week 14 Raiders at Buccaneers TB 28–13 95% +5
2024 Week 13 Bears at Lions DET 23–20 86% +14
2024 Week 12 Patriots at Dolphins MIA 34–15 90% +10
2024 Week 11 Falcons at Broncos DEN 38–6 57% +43
2024 Week 9 Jaguars at Eagles PHI 28–23 60% +40
2024 Week 8 Saints at Chargers LAC 26–8 76% +24
2024 Week 7 Chiefs at 49ers KC 28–18 62% +38
2024 Week 6 Steelers at Raiders PIT 32–13 62% +38
2024 Week 5 Browns at Commanders WAS 34–13 99% +1
2024 Week 4 Bills at Ravens BAL 35–10 93% +7
2024 Week 3 Broncos at Buccaneers DEN 26–7 55% +45
2024 Week 2 Jets at Titans NYJ 24–17 40% +60
2024 Week 1 Panthers at Saints NO 47–10 99% +1
2023 Week 18 Browns at Bengals CIN 31–14 93% +7
2023 Week 17 Patriots at Bills BUF 27–21 77% +23
2023 Week 16 Colts at Falcons ATL 29–10 92% +8
2023 Week 15 Commanders at Rams LA 28–20 75% +25
2023 Week 14 Panthers at Saints NO 28–6 93% +7
2023 Week 12 Ravens at Chargers BAL 20–10 88% +12
2023 Week 11 Jets at Bills BUF 32–6 100% 0
2023 Week 10 Titans at Buccaneers TB 20–6 90% +10
2023 Week 9 Giants at Raiders LV 30–6 96% +4
2023 Week 8 Jaguars at Steelers JAX 20–10 92% +8
2023 Week 6 Saints at Texans HOU 20–13 52% +48
2023 Week 5 Packers at Raiders LV 17–13 81% +19
2023 Week 5 Cowboys at 49ers SF 42–10 99% +1
2023 Week 4 Lions at Packers DET 34–20 94% +6
2023 Week 3 Bears at Chiefs KC 41–10 99% +1
2023 Week 2 Chargers at Titans TEN 27–24 60% +40
2023 Week 1 Cardinals at Commanders WAS 20–16 88% +12