Referee · 2025–2026
Alex Moore: flags and calls
Alex Moore’s crews have worked 21 games since 2025: 10.6 judgment flags a game, more than the league average of 7.4, and 6.1 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +4.4% of a win a game to the home team (league: +0.9%), each weighted by the moment it came.
Season by season
The calls that swung games most
By the change in win probability they caused.
- Illegal Use of Hands on the Jaguars, 10 yards, wiping out the play · JAX at HOU, 2025 Week 10 · 37 pts of win probability
- Unnecessary Roughness on the Panthers (Lathan Ransom), 15 yards · CAR at NO, 2025 Week 15 · 24 pts of win probability
- Roughing the Passer on the Vikings (Eric Wilson), 15 yards, wiping out the play · MIN at NYG, 2025 Week 16 · 20 pts of win probability
- Illegal Use of Hands on the Bears (C.J. Gardner-Johnson), 4 yards, wiping out the play · CHI at SF, 2025 Week 17 · 19 pts of win probability
- Roughing the Passer on the Jaguars (Arik Armstead), 15 yards, wiping out the play · JAX at CIN, 2026 Week 4 · 19 pts of win probability
- Defensive Pass Interference on the Texans (Kamari Lassiter), 46 yards · BUF at HOU, 2026 Week 1 · 15 pts of win probability
- Ineligible Downfield Pass on the Saints, 5 yards, wiping out the play · CAR at NO, 2025 Week 15 · 15 pts of win probability
- Defensive Pass Interference on the Jaguars (Jarrian Jones), 23 yards · JAX at HOU, 2025 Week 10 · 14 pts of win probability
Every game
| Week | Game | Result | Winner wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Week 5 | Buccaneers at Cowboys | TB 24–16 | 4% | +96 |
| 2026 Week 4 | Jaguars at Bengals | JAX 22–17 | 72% | +28 |
| 2026 Week 3 | Chiefs at Dolphins | KC 24–10 | 98% | +2 |
| 2026 Week 2 | Panthers at Falcons | CAR 34–3 | 95% | +5 |
| 2026 Week 1 | Bills at Texans | BUF 36–31 | 87% | +13 |
| 2025 Week 17 | Bears at 49ers | SF 42–38 | 76% | +24 |
| 2025 Week 16 | Vikings at Giants | MIN 16–13 | 49% | +51 |
| 2025 Week 15 | Panthers at Saints | NO 20–17 | 71% | +29 |
| 2025 Week 14 | Steelers at Ravens | PIT 27–22 | 53% | +47 |
| 2025 Week 13 | Raiders at Chargers | LAC 31–14 | 90% | +10 |
| 2025 Week 12 | Colts at Chiefs | KC 23–20 | 86% | +14 |
| 2025 Week 11 | Buccaneers at Bills | BUF 44–32 | 63% | +37 |
| 2025 Week 10 | Jaguars at Texans | HOU 36–29 | 94% | +6 |
| 2025 Week 8 | Browns at Patriots | NE 32–13 | 99% | +1 |
| 2025 Week 7 | Packers at Cardinals | GB 27–23 | 56% | +44 |
| 2025 Week 6 | Bears at Commanders | CHI 25–24 | 35% | +65 |
| 2025 Week 5 | Cowboys at Jets | DAL 37–22 | 92% | +8 |
| 2025 Week 4 | Bengals at Broncos | DEN 28–3 | 82% | +18 |
| 2025 Week 3 | Saints at Seahawks | SEA 44–13 | 96% | +4 |
| 2025 Week 2 | Patriots at Dolphins | NE 33–27 | 44% | +56 |
| 2025 Week 1 | Panthers at Jaguars | JAX 26–10 | 65% | +35 |