luckadjusted

Referee · 2025–2026

Alex Moore: flags and calls

Alex Moore’s crews have worked 18 games since 2025: 9.9 judgment flags a game, more than the league average of 7.4, and 6.2 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth −0.04 points a game to the home team (league: +0.24).

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, pts
2025169.86.4−0.04
2026211.05.0−0.05

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Illegal Use of Hands on the Jaguars, 10 yards, wiping out the play · JAX at HOU, 2025 Week 10 · 37 pts of win probability
  2. Unnecessary Roughness on the Panthers (Lathan Ransom), 15 yards · CAR at NO, 2025 Week 15 · 24 pts of win probability
  3. Roughing the Passer on the Vikings (Eric Wilson), 15 yards, wiping out the play · MIN at NYG, 2025 Week 16 · 20 pts of win probability
  4. Illegal Use of Hands on the Bears (C.J. Gardner-Johnson), 4 yards, wiping out the play · CHI at SF, 2025 Week 17 · 19 pts of win probability
  5. Defensive Pass Interference on the Texans (Kamari Lassiter), 46 yards · BUF at HOU, 2026 Week 1 · 15 pts of win probability
  6. Ineligible Downfield Pass on the Saints, 5 yards, wiping out the play · CAR at NO, 2025 Week 15 · 15 pts of win probability
  7. Defensive Pass Interference on the Jaguars (Jarrian Jones), 23 yards · JAX at HOU, 2025 Week 10 · 14 pts of win probability
  8. Offensive Holding on the Ravens (Keondre Jackson), 10 yards · PIT at BAL, 2025 Week 14 · 11 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 2 Panthers at Falcons CAR 34–3 87% +13
2026 Week 1 Bills at Texans BUF 36–31 93% +7
2025 Week 17 Bears at 49ers SF 42–38 86% +14
2025 Week 16 Vikings at Giants MIN 16–13 50% +50
2025 Week 15 Panthers at Saints NO 20–17 67% +33
2025 Week 14 Steelers at Ravens PIT 27–22 38% +62
2025 Week 13 Raiders at Chargers LAC 31–14 90% +10
2025 Week 12 Colts at Chiefs KC 23–20 85% +15
2025 Week 11 Buccaneers at Bills BUF 44–32 66% +34
2025 Week 10 Jaguars at Texans HOU 36–29 94% +6
2025 Week 8 Browns at Patriots NE 32–13 99% +1
2025 Week 7 Packers at Cardinals GB 27–23 70% +30
2025 Week 6 Bears at Commanders CHI 25–24 35% +65
2025 Week 5 Cowboys at Jets DAL 37–22 92% +8
2025 Week 4 Bengals at Broncos DEN 28–3 90% +10
2025 Week 3 Saints at Seahawks SEA 44–13 90% +10
2025 Week 2 Patriots at Dolphins NE 33–27 28% +72
2025 Week 1 Panthers at Jaguars JAX 26–10 66% +34