luckadjusted

Referee · 2019–2026

Craig Wrolstad: flags and calls

Craig Wrolstad’s crews have worked 120 games since 2019: 7.2 judgment flags a game, about the same as the league average of 7.4, and 4.7 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +0.44 points a game to the home team (league: +0.24).

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, pts
2019159.95.3+0.42
2020166.54.8−0.18
2021176.64.6+0.02
2022176.52.8+1.44
2023176.03.9+0.39
2024188.46.5+0.47
2025186.94.7+0.76
202626.08.0−1.78

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Offensive Holding on the Raiders, 10 yards, wiping out the play · LV at CLE, 2021 Week 15 · 58 pts of win probability
  2. Offensive Holding on the Cardinals, 10 yards, wiping out the play · ARI at TB, 2019 Week 10 · 30 pts of win probability
  3. Offensive Pass Interference on the Giants (Damion Ratley), 10 yards, wiping out the play · NYG at DAL, 2020 Week 5 · 26 pts of win probability
  4. Offensive Holding on the Browns, 10 yards, wiping out the play · LV at CLE, 2021 Week 15 · 26 pts of win probability
  5. Defensive Pass Interference on the Bills, 19 yards · MIN at BUF, 2022 Week 10 · 24 pts of win probability
  6. Leverage on the Broncos (Dondrea Tillman), 15 yards · DEN at IND, 2025 Week 2 · 23 pts of win probability
  7. Offensive Holding on the Eagles, 10 yards, wiping out the play · PHI at WAS, 2025 Week 16 · 22 pts of win probability
  8. Offensive Holding on the Patriots, 10 yards, wiping out the play · NYJ at NE, 2024 Week 8 · 21 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 2 Colts at Chiefs KC 33–30 53% +47
2026 Week 1 Browns at Jaguars JAX 34–10 98% +2
2025 Wild Card Texans at Steelers HOU 30–6 74% +26
2025 Week 18 Chiefs at Raiders LV 14–12 55% +45
2025 Week 17 Texans at Chargers HOU 20–16 65% +36
2025 Week 16 Eagles at Commanders PHI 29–18 65% +35
2025 Week 15 Titans at 49ers SF 37–24 89% +11
2025 Week 14 Bears at Packers GB 28–21 78% +22
2025 Week 13 Bengals at Ravens CIN 32–14 48% +52
2025 Week 12 Giants at Lions DET 34–27 75% +25
2025 Week 11 Chargers at Jaguars JAX 35–6 94% +6
2025 Week 9 Colts at Steelers PIT 27–20 22% +78
2025 Week 8 Bills at Panthers BUF 40–9 99% +1
2025 Week 7 Patriots at Titans NE 31–13 92% +8
2025 Week 6 Lions at Chiefs KC 30–17 64% +36
2025 Week 5 Buccaneers at Seahawks TB 38–35 34% +66
2025 Week 4 Jets at Dolphins MIA 27–21 31% +69
2025 Week 3 Falcons at Panthers CAR 30–0 50% +50
2025 Week 2 Broncos at Colts IND 29–28 67% +33
2025 Week 1 Texans at Rams LA 14–9 58% +42
2024 Wild Card Commanders at Buccaneers WAS 23–20 47% +53
2024 Week 17 Chiefs at Steelers KC 29–10 90% +10
2024 Week 16 Vikings at Seahawks MIN 27–24 61% +39
2024 Week 15 Bengals at Titans CIN 37–27 80% +20
2024 Week 14 Bills at Rams LA 44–42 40% +60
2024 Week 13 Eagles at Ravens PHI 24–19 37% +63
2024 Week 12 Ravens at Chargers BAL 30–23 92% +8
2024 Week 12 49ers at Packers GB 38–10 95% +5
2024 Week 11 Texans at Cowboys HOU 34–10 96% +4
2024 Week 10 Titans at Chargers LAC 27–17 84% +16
2024 Week 8 Jets at Patriots NE 25–22 9% +91
2024 Week 7 Dolphins at Colts IND 16–10 76% +24
2024 Week 6 49ers at Seahawks SF 36–24 98% +2
2024 Week 5 Raiders at Broncos DEN 34–18 30% +70
2024 Week 4 Commanders at Cardinals WAS 42–14 94% +6
2024 Week 3 Giants at Browns NYG 21–15 80% +20
2024 Week 2 Falcons at Eagles ATL 22–21 35% +65
2024 Week 1 Jaguars at Dolphins MIA 20–17 80% +20
2023 Wild Card Rams at Lions DET 24–23 39% +61
2023 Week 18 Eagles at Giants NYG 27–10 51% +49
2023 Week 17 Chargers at Broncos DEN 16–9 69% +31
2023 Week 16 Bengals at Steelers PIT 34–11 69% +31
2023 Week 15 Cowboys at Bills BUF 31–10 95% +5
2023 Week 14 Vikings at Raiders MIN 3–0 88% +12
2023 Week 13 Colts at Titans IND 31–28 78% +22
2023 Week 11 Buccaneers at 49ers SF 27–14 98% +2
2023 Week 10 Falcons at Cardinals ARI 25–23 46% +54
2023 Week 9 Chargers at Jets LAC 27–6 78% +22
2023 Week 8 Saints at Colts NO 38–27 88% +12
2023 Week 7 Steelers at Rams PIT 24–17 21% +79
2023 Week 6 Panthers at Dolphins MIA 42–21 97% +3
2023 Week 4 Falcons vs Jaguars JAX 23–7 80% +20
2023 Week 3 Titans at Browns CLE 27–3 96% +4
2023 Week 2 Raiders at Bills BUF 38–10 84% +16
2023 Week 1 Packers at Bears GB 38–20 58% +42
2022 Wild Card Cowboys at Buccaneers DAL 31–14 95% +5
2022 Week 18 Rams at Seahawks SEA 19–16 78% +22
2022 Week 17 Colts at Giants NYG 38–10 89% +11
2022 Week 16 Bengals at Patriots CIN 22–18 65% +35
2022 Week 15 Lions at Jets DET 20–17 68% +32
2022 Week 14 Chiefs at Broncos KC 34–28 99% +1
2022 Week 13 Chargers at Raiders LV 27–20 95% +5
2022 Week 11 49ers vs Cardinals SF 38–10 97% +3
2022 Week 10 Vikings at Bills MIN 33–30 16% +84
2022 Week 9 Eagles at Texans PHI 29–17 77% +23
2022 Week 8 Commanders at Colts WAS 17–16 74% +26
2022 Week 7 Buccaneers at Panthers CAR 21–3 67% +33
2022 Week 5 Lions at Patriots NE 29–0 88% +12
2022 Week 4 Browns at Falcons ATL 23–20 53% +47
2022 Week 3 Jaguars at Chargers JAX 38–10 86% +14
2022 Week 2 Bears at Packers GB 27–10 88% +12
2022 Week 1 Ravens at Jets BAL 24–9 69% +31
2021 Wild Card Eagles at Buccaneers TB 31–15 89% +11
2021 Week 18 Saints at Falcons NO 30–20 77% +23
2021 Week 17 Broncos at Chargers LAC 34–13 53% +47
2021 Week 16 Colts at Cardinals IND 22–16 61% +39
2021 Week 15 Raiders at Browns LV 16–14 52% +48
2021 Week 14 49ers at Bengals SF 26–23 37% +63
2021 Week 13 Vikings at Lions DET 29–27 23% +77
2021 Week 12 Rams at Packers GB 36–28 24% +76
2021 Week 11 Giants at Buccaneers TB 30–10 97% +3
2021 Week 10 Falcons at Cowboys DAL 43–3 95% +5
2021 Week 8 Bengals at Jets NYJ 34–31 62% +38
2021 Week 7 Colts at 49ers IND 30–18 46% +54
2021 Week 6 Vikings at Panthers MIN 34–28 83% +17
2021 Week 5 Bears at Raiders CHI 20–9 52% +49
2021 Week 4 Ravens at Broncos BAL 23–7 89% +11
2021 Week 3 Buccaneers at Rams LA 34–24 34% +66
2021 Week 2 Bills at Dolphins BUF 35–0 95% +5
2020 Week 17 Packers at Bears GB 35–16 94% +6
2020 Week 16 Falcons at Chiefs KC 17–14 87% +13
2020 Week 15 Eagles at Cardinals ARI 33–26 85% +15
2020 Week 14 Patriots at Rams LA 24–3 81% +19
2020 Week 13 Giants at Seahawks NYG 17–12 54% +46
2020 Week 12 Saints at Broncos NO 31–3 84% +16
2020 Week 11 Jets at Chargers LAC 34–28 75% +25
2020 Week 10 Bills at Cardinals ARI 32–30 69% +31
2020 Week 8 49ers at Seahawks SEA 37–27 59% +41
2020 Week 7 Panthers at Saints NO 27–24 43% +57
2020 Week 6 Falcons at Vikings ATL 40–23 10% +90
2020 Week 5 Giants at Cowboys DAL 37–34 96% +4
2020 Week 4 Colts at Bears IND 19–11 60% +40
2020 Week 3 Jets at Colts IND 36–7 89% +11
2020 Week 2 Patriots at Seahawks SEA 35–30 56% +44
2020 Week 1 Steelers at Giants PIT 26–16 27% +73
2019 Week 17 Washington at Cowboys DAL 47–16 96% +4
2019 Week 16 Lions at Broncos DEN 27–17 76% +24
2019 Week 15 Falcons at 49ers ATL 29–22 67% +33
2019 Week 14 Dolphins at Jets NYJ 22–21 51% +49
2019 Week 13 Packers at Giants GB 31–13 58% +42
2019 Week 12 Ravens at Rams BAL 45–6 97% +3
2019 Week 10 Cardinals at Buccaneers TB 30–27 55% +45
2019 Week 9 Bears at Eagles PHI 22–14 90% +10
2019 Week 8 Raiders at Texans HOU 27–24 43% +57
2019 Week 7 Jaguars at Bengals JAX 27–17 79% +21
2019 Week 5 Colts at Chiefs IND 19–13 83% +17
2019 Week 4 Patriots at Bills NE 16–10 30% +70
2019 Week 3 Panthers at Cardinals CAR 38–20 89% +11
2019 Week 2 Chargers at Lions DET 13–10 28% +72
2019 Week 1 Broncos at Raiders OAK 24–16 82% +18