luckadjusted
NFL Week 9 · 2026

Referee · 2020–2026

Land Clark: flags and calls

Land Clark’s crews have worked 100 games since 2020: 7.3 judgment flags a game, about the same as the league average of 7.4, and 4.7 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth +0.3% of a win a game to the home team (league: +0.9%), each weighted by the moment it came.

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, a game
2020158.24.4−3.3%
2021168.75.0−2.6%
2022167.13.9+5.5%
2023167.54.8+2.5%
2024176.34.9−5.4%
2025166.44.6+5.0%
202646.87.8+1.8%

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Defensive Pass Interference on the Broncos (Talanoa Hufanga), 5 yards, wiping out the play · DEN at WAS, 2025 Week 13 · 68 pts of win probability
  2. Offensive Holding on the Commanders, 10 yards, wiping out the play · DEN at WAS, 2025 Week 13 · 51 pts of win probability
  3. Offensive Holding on the Bills, 10 yards, wiping out the play · BUF at NYJ, 2022 Week 9 · 40 pts of win probability
  4. Offensive Pass Interference on the Vikings (Justin Jefferson), 7 yards, wiping out the play · JAX at MIN, 2020 Week 13 · 39 pts of win probability
  5. Defensive Holding on the Steelers (Devin Bush Jr.), 5 yards, wiping out the play · DET at PIT, 2021 Week 10 · 35 pts of win probability
  6. Roughing the Passer on the Panthers (Bobby Okereke), 15 yards, wiping out the play · CAR at CLE, 2026 Week 3 · 33 pts of win probability
  7. Offensive Holding on the Ravens, 10 yards, wiping out the play · BAL at JAX, 2022 Week 12 · 29 pts of win probability
  8. Offensive Holding on the Lions (T.J. Hockenson), 10 yards · DET at PIT, 2021 Week 10 · 26 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2026 Week 4 Falcons at Saints ATL 45–24 96% +4
2026 Week 3 Panthers at Browns CLE 21–18 8% +92
2026 Week 2 Vikings at Bears MIN 9–3 53% +47
2026 Week 1 Jets at Titans NYJ 23–10 73% +27
2025 Week 18 Colts at Texans HOU 38–30 70% +30
2025 Week 17 Giants at Raiders NYG 34–10 96% +4
2025 Week 16 Falcons at Cardinals ATL 26–19 45% +55
2025 Week 15 Dolphins at Steelers PIT 28–15 62% +38
2025 Week 13 Broncos at Commanders DEN 27–26 49% +51
2025 Week 12 Patriots at Bengals NE 26–20 82% +18
2025 Week 11 Ravens at Browns BAL 23–16 99% +1
2025 Week 10 Rams at 49ers LA 42–26 90% +10
2025 Week 9 Panthers at Packers CAR 16–13 27% +73
2025 Week 8 Titans at Colts IND 38–14 97% +3
2025 Week 6 Broncos vs Jets DEN 13–11 89% +11
2025 Week 5 Texans at Ravens HOU 44–10 79% +21
2025 Week 4 Saints at Bills BUF 31–19 91% +9
2025 Week 3 Chiefs at Giants KC 22–9 65% +35
2025 Week 2 Bears at Lions DET 52–21 100% 0
2025 Week 1 Buccaneers at Falcons TB 23–20 70% +30
2024 Wild Card Chargers at Texans HOU 32–12 47% +53
2024 Week 18 Panthers at Falcons CAR 44–38 11% +89
2024 Week 17 Raiders at Saints LV 25–10 97% +3
2024 Week 16 Buccaneers at Cowboys DAL 26–24 37% +63
2024 Week 14 Browns at Steelers PIT 27–14 94% +6
2024 Week 13 Texans at Jaguars HOU 23–20 91% +9
2024 Week 12 Eagles at Rams PHI 37–20 94% +6
2024 Week 11 Chiefs at Bills BUF 30–21 53% +47
2024 Week 10 Patriots at Bears NE 19–3 58% +42
2024 Week 8 Packers at Jaguars GB 30–27 90% +10
2024 Week 7 Broncos at Saints DEN 33–10 69% +31
2024 Week 6 Commanders at Ravens BAL 30–23 79% +21
2024 Week 5 Cardinals at 49ers ARI 24–23 60% +41
2024 Week 4 Steelers at Colts IND 27–24 66% +34
2024 Week 3 Dolphins at Seahawks SEA 24–3 36% +64
2024 Week 2 Bears at Texans HOU 19–13 48% +52
2024 Week 1 Patriots at Bengals NE 16–10 27% +73
2023 Week 18 Jets at Patriots NYJ 17–3 97% +3
2023 Week 17 Saints at Buccaneers NO 23–13 76% +24
2023 Week 16 Lions at Vikings DET 30–24 88% +12
2023 Week 15 Falcons at Panthers CAR 9–7 71% +29
2023 Week 14 Packers at Giants NYG 24–22 37% +63
2023 Week 13 Cardinals at Steelers ARI 24–10 42% +58
2023 Week 12 Chiefs at Raiders KC 31–17 86% +14
2023 Week 10 Browns at Ravens CLE 33–31 14% +86
2023 Week 9 Buccaneers at Texans HOU 39–37 70% +30
2023 Week 8 Patriots at Dolphins MIA 31–17 96% +4
2023 Week 7 Jaguars at Saints JAX 31–24 87% +13
2023 Week 6 Cowboys at Chargers DAL 20–17 73% +27
2023 Week 5 Chiefs at Vikings KC 27–20 76% +24
2023 Week 4 Rams at Colts LA 29–23 62% +38
2023 Week 3 Bills at Commanders BUF 37–3 94% +6
2023 Week 2 Giants at Cardinals NYG 31–28 84% +16
2022 Week 18 Buccaneers at Falcons ATL 30–17 87% +13
2022 Week 17 Steelers at Ravens PIT 16–13 87% +13
2022 Week 16 Packers at Dolphins GB 26–20 60% +40
2022 Week 15 Titans at Chargers LAC 17–14 89% +11
2022 Week 13 Browns at Texans CLE 27–14 84% +16
2022 Week 12 Ravens at Jaguars JAX 28–27 21% +79
2022 Week 11 Eagles at Colts PHI 17–16 75% +25
2022 Week 10 Lions at Bears DET 31–30 57% +43
2022 Week 9 Bills at Jets NYJ 20–17 51% +49
2022 Week 7 Seahawks at Chargers SEA 37–23 94% +6
2022 Week 6 Bengals at Saints CIN 30–26 75% +25
2022 Week 5 Titans at Commanders TEN 21–17 50% +50
2022 Week 4 Broncos at Raiders LV 32–23 91% +9
2022 Week 3 Cowboys at Giants DAL 23–16 98% +2
2022 Week 2 Patriots at Steelers NE 17–14 79% +21
2022 Week 1 Colts at Texans HOU 20–20 43% +57
2021 Week 18 Titans at Texans TEN 28–25 74% +26
2021 Week 17 Falcons at Bills BUF 29–15 72% +28
2021 Week 16 Giants at Eagles PHI 34–10 96% +4
2021 Week 15 Cardinals at Lions DET 30–12 18% +82
2021 Week 14 Saints at Jets NO 30–9 61% +39
2021 Week 12 Chargers at Broncos DEN 28–13 36% +64
2021 Week 11 Patriots at Falcons NE 25–0 93% +7
2021 Week 10 Lions at Steelers PIT 16–16 35% +65
2021 Week 9 Bills at Jaguars JAX 9–6 43% +57
2021 Week 8 49ers at Bears SF 33–22 96% +4
2021 Week 7 Texans at Cardinals ARI 31–5 99% +1
2021 Week 5 Colts at Ravens BAL 31–25 71% +29
2021 Week 4 Chiefs at Eagles KC 42–30 96% +4
2021 Week 3 Jets at Broncos DEN 26–0 95% +5
2021 Week 2 Bengals at Bears CHI 20–17 32% +68
2021 Week 1 Jaguars at Texans HOU 37–21 83% +17
2020 Week 17 Ravens at Bengals BAL 38–3 96% +4
2020 Week 16 Browns at Jets NYJ 23–16 57% +43
2020 Week 15 49ers at Cowboys DAL 41–33 16% +84
2020 Week 14 Texans at Bears CHI 36–7 88% +12
2020 Week 13 Jaguars at Vikings MIN 27–24 74% +26
2020 Week 12 Raiders at Falcons ATL 43–6 82% +18
2020 Week 11 Dolphins at Broncos DEN 20–13 88% +12
2020 Week 10 Buccaneers at Panthers TB 46–23 66% +34
2020 Week 8 Jets at Chiefs KC 35–9 99% +1
2020 Week 7 Lions at Falcons DET 23–22 79% +21
2020 Week 6 Bengals at Colts IND 31–27 92% +8
2020 Week 5 Dolphins at 49ers MIA 43–17 86% +14
2020 Week 4 Bills at Raiders BUF 30–23 44% +56
2020 Week 3 Buccaneers at Broncos TB 28–10 86% +14
2020 Week 2 Washington at Cardinals ARI 30–15 79% +21