luckadjusted

Referee · 2022–2024

Tra Blake: flags and calls

Tra Blake’s crews have worked 48 games since 2022: 7.6 judgment flags a game, about the same as the league average of 7.4, and 4.6 pre-snap flags. Their judgment calls were worth −0.92 points a game to the home team (league: +0.24).

Season by season

SeasonGamesJudgment flags per gamePre-snapToward home, pts
2022168.33.8+0.44
2023168.14.5−1.17
2024166.45.5−2.04

The calls that swung games most

By the change in win probability they caused.

  1. Illegal Use of Hands on the Giants, 5 yards, wiping out the play · NYG at JAX, 2022 Week 7 · 55 pts of win probability
  2. Offensive Holding on the Seahawks, 10 yards, wiping out the play · ATL at SEA, 2022 Week 3 · 35 pts of win probability
  3. Unsportsmanlike Conduct on the Steelers, 15 yards · LV at PIT, 2022 Week 16 · 28 pts of win probability
  4. Offensive Holding on the Giants (Daniel Bellinger), 10 yards, wiping out the play · LA at NYG, 2023 Week 17 · 27 pts of win probability
  5. Roughing the Passer on the Eagles (Haason Reddick), 15 yards · DAL at PHI, 2023 Week 9 · 26 pts of win probability
  6. Offensive Pass Interference on the Broncos (Courtland Sutton), 8 yards, wiping out the play · DEN at KC, 2022 Week 17 · 23 pts of win probability
  7. Illegal Use of Hands on the Buccaneers, 10 yards, wiping out the play · TB at CLE, 2022 Week 12 · 21 pts of win probability
  8. Offensive Holding on the Jets, 10 yards, wiping out the play · NYJ at CLE, 2022 Week 2 · 20 pts of win probability

Every game

WeekGameResultWinner wins the replayLuck index
2024 Week 18 Dolphins at Jets NYJ 32–20 99% +1
2024 Week 16 Giants at Falcons ATL 34–7 99% +1
2024 Week 15 Chiefs at Browns KC 21–7 98% +2
2024 Week 14 Jaguars at Titans JAX 10–6 72% +28
2024 Week 13 Buccaneers at Panthers TB 26–23 78% +22
2024 Week 12 Cowboys at Commanders DAL 34–26 19% +81
2024 Week 11 Colts at Jets IND 28–27 54% +46
2024 Week 9 Dolphins at Bills BUF 30–27 83% +17
2024 Week 8 Vikings at Rams LA 30–20 68% +32
2024 Week 7 Eagles at Giants PHI 28–3 99% +1
2024 Week 6 Chargers at Broncos LAC 23–16 52% +48
2024 Week 5 Panthers at Bears CHI 36–10 96% +4
2024 Week 4 Jaguars at Texans HOU 24–20 76% +24
2024 Week 3 Chiefs at Falcons KC 22–17 81% +19
2024 Week 2 Raiders at Ravens LV 26–23 16% +84
2024 Week 1 Cardinals at Bills BUF 34–28 92% +8
2023 Week 18 Jaguars at Titans TEN 28–20 30% +70
2023 Week 17 Rams at Giants LA 26–25 88% +12
2023 Week 16 Browns at Texans CLE 36–22 95% +5
2023 Week 15 Buccaneers at Packers TB 34–20 75% +25
2023 Week 14 Lions at Bears CHI 28–13 85% +15
2023 Week 13 Dolphins at Commanders MIA 45–15 96% +4
2023 Week 12 49ers at Seahawks SF 31–13 98% +2
2023 Week 10 Colts vs Patriots IND 10–6 77% +23
2023 Week 9 Cowboys at Eagles PHI 28–23 54% +46
2023 Week 8 Ravens at Cardinals BAL 31–24 65% +35
2023 Week 7 Chargers at Chiefs KC 31–17 91% +9
2023 Week 6 Giants at Bills BUF 14–9 97% +3
2023 Week 4 Vikings at Panthers MIN 21–13 93% +7
2023 Week 3 Steelers at Raiders PIT 23–18 57% +43
2023 Week 2 Packers at Falcons ATL 25–24 38% +62
2023 Week 1 Texans at Ravens BAL 25–9 81% +19
2022 Week 18 Cowboys at Commanders WAS 26–6 94% +6
2022 Week 17 Broncos at Chiefs KC 27–24 97% +3
2022 Week 16 Raiders at Steelers PIT 13–10 79% +21
2022 Week 15 Colts at Vikings MIN 39–36 92% +8
2022 Week 13 Dolphins at 49ers SF 33–17 79% +21
2022 Week 12 Buccaneers at Browns CLE 23–17 60% +40
2022 Week 11 Bears at Falcons ATL 27–24 87% +13
2022 Week 10 Colts at Raiders IND 25–20 48% +52
2022 Week 9 Packers at Lions DET 15–9 34% +66
2022 Week 7 Giants at Jaguars NYG 23–17 79% +21
2022 Week 6 Panthers at Rams LA 24–10 91% +9
2022 Week 5 Eagles at Cardinals PHI 20–17 35% +65
2022 Week 4 Dolphins at Bengals CIN 27–15 68% +32
2022 Week 3 Falcons at Seahawks ATL 27–23 54% +46
2022 Week 2 Jets at Browns NYJ 31–30 2% +98
2022 Week 1 Jaguars at Commanders WAS 28–22 46% +54