2019 NFL season · January 19, 2020
Conference championships 2019: who deserved to win
Every winner of Conference championships earned it. The closest call: the Chiefs won 35–24 and take 83% of replays.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.
Luck ranking, conference championships
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 35–24 vs Titans | 83% | +17 | |
| 2 | W 37–20 vs Packers | 95% | +5 | |
| 3 | L 20–37 @ 49ers | 5% | −5 | |
| 4 | L 24–35 @ Chiefs | 17% | −17 |