Vikings 10 
49ers 27 Replays agree · 49ers win 96% of replays 2019 NFL season · January 11, 2020–January 12
Divisional round 2019: who deserved to win
No winner of Divisional round was behind in the replays. The closest call: the Packers won 28–23 and take 41% of replays.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was behind in the replays.
Vikings 10 49ers 27 Replays agree · 49ers win 96% of replays 
Titans 28 
Ravens 12 Coin flip · Titans win 58% of replays 
Texans 31 
Chiefs 51 Replays agree · Chiefs win 98% of replays 
Seahawks 23 
Packers 28 Coin flip · Packers win 41% of replays Divisional round 2019 upsets
Games the betting underdog won, biggest upset first, and whether the way both teams played backs it up. 0 of 1 were deserved: the underdog wins 60% or more of the replays with the same day’s form.
| Winner | Game | Before kickoff | Replay with same day’s form | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Titans | 28–12 @ Ravens | 23% | 58% | Coin flip |
Luck ranking, divisional round
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Packers | W 28–23 vs Seahawks | 41% | +59 |
| 2 | Titans | W 28–12 @ Ravens | 58% | +42 |
| 3 | 49ers | W 27–10 vs Vikings | 96% | +4 |
| 4 | Chiefs | W 51–31 vs Texans | 98% | +2 |
| 5 | Texans | L 31–51 @ Chiefs | 2% | −2 |
| 6 | Vikings | L 10–27 @ 49ers | 4% | −4 |
| 7 | Ravens | L 12–28 vs Titans | 42% | −42 |
| 8 | Seahawks | L 23–28 @ Packers | 59% | −59 |