luckadjusted

2020 NFL season · February 7, 2021

Super Bowl 2020: who deserved to win

Every winner of Super Bowl earned it. The closest call: the Buccaneers won 31–9 and take 83% of replays.

The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.

Luck ranking, super bowl

Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.

#TeamGameWins the replayLuck index
1 Buccaneers W 31–9 vs Chiefs 83% +17
2 Chiefs L 9–31 @ Buccaneers 17% −17