luckadjusted
NFL Week 9 · 2026

2021 NFL season · February 13, 2022

Super Bowl LVI (2022): who deserved to win

The winner wasn’t outplayed. The closest call: the Rams won 23–20 and take 47% of replays.

The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was behind in the replays.

Super Bowl LVI (2022) upsets

The betting favorite won.

Luck ranking, super bowl

Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.

#TeamGameWins the replayLuck index
1 Rams W 23–20 @ Bengals 47% +53
2 Bengals L 20–23 vs Rams 53% −53