2021 NFL season · February 13, 2022
Super Bowl 2021: who deserved to win
1 of 1 winners were outplayed on the day. The biggest heist: the Rams beat the Bengals 23–20 in a game they win 49% of the time when it’s replayed with the way both teams played.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.
Luck ranking, super bowl
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | W 23–20 @ Bengals | 49% | +51 | |
| 2 | L 20–23 vs Rams | 51% | −51 |