Chiefs 38 
Eagles 35 Replays agree · Chiefs win 83% of replays Off day for the Eagles 50% to win a fresh game, 17% with this day’s form: defense far below its usual level. 2022 NFL season · February 12, 2023
Super Bowl LVII (2023): who deserved to win
The winner wasn’t outplayed. The closest call: the Chiefs won 38–35 and take 83% of replays.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was behind in the replays.
Chiefs 38 Eagles 35 Replays agree · Chiefs win 83% of replays Off day for the Eagles 50% to win a fresh game, 17% with this day’s form: defense far below its usual level. Super Bowl LVII (2023) upsets
Games the betting underdog won, biggest upset first, and whether the way both teams played backs it up. 1 of 1 were deserved: the underdog wins 60% or more of the replays with the same day’s form.
| Winner | Game | Before kickoff | Replay with same day’s form | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiefs | 38–35 @ Eagles | 47% | 83% | Deserved |
Luck ranking, super bowl
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | W 38–35 @ Eagles | 83% | +17 |
| 2 | Eagles | L 35–38 vs Chiefs | 17% | −17 |