49ers 7 
Eagles 31 Deserved · Eagles win 91% of replays 2022 NFL season · January 29, 2023
Conference championships 2022: who deserved to win
Every winner of Conference championships earned it. The closest call: the Chiefs won 23–20 and take 67% of replays.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.
49ers 7 Eagles 31 Deserved · Eagles win 91% of replays 
Bengals 20 
Chiefs 23 Deserved · Chiefs win 67% of replays Luck ranking, conference championships
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | W 23–20 vs Bengals | 67% | +33 |
| 2 | Eagles | W 31–7 vs 49ers | 91% | +9 |
| 3 | 49ers | L 7–31 @ Eagles | 9% | −9 |
| 4 | Bengals | L 20–23 @ Chiefs | 33% | −33 |