Seahawks lucky 29 
Patriots unlucky 13 Replays favor loser · Seahawks win 32% of replays The Seahawks won on an off day 70% to win a fresh game, 32% with this day’s form: offense far below its usual level. 2025 NFL season · February 8, 2026
Super Bowl LX (2026): who deserved to win
The winner was behind in the replays. The biggest heist: the Seahawks beat the Patriots 29–13 in a game they win 32% of the time when it’s replayed with the way both teams played.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was behind in the replays.
Seahawks lucky 29 Patriots unlucky 13 Replays favor loser · Seahawks win 32% of replays The Seahawks won on an off day 70% to win a fresh game, 32% with this day’s form: offense far below its usual level. Super Bowl LX (2026) upsets
The betting favorite won.
Luck ranking, super bowl
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks | W 29–13 @ Patriots | 32% | +68 |
| 2 | Patriots | L 13–29 vs Seahawks | 68% | −68 |