Seahawks lucky 29 
Patriots unlucky 13 Winner outplayed · Seahawks win 30% of replays The Seahawks won on an off day 71% to win a fresh game, 30% with this day’s form: offense far below its usual level. 2025 NFL season · February 8, 2026
Super Bowl 2025: who deserved to win
1 of 1 winners were outplayed on the day. The biggest heist: the Seahawks beat the Patriots 29–13 in a game they win 30% of the time when it’s replayed with the way both teams played.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.
Seahawks lucky 29 Patriots unlucky 13 Winner outplayed · Seahawks win 30% of replays The Seahawks won on an off day 71% to win a fresh game, 30% with this day’s form: offense far below its usual level. Luck ranking, super bowl
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seahawks | W 29–13 @ Patriots | 30% | +70 |
| 2 | Patriots | L 13–29 vs Seahawks | 70% | −70 |