One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Browns in one-score games

The Browns are 1–0 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 3–6 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 0.4 of those 1. Since 2019: 29–30 in 59 one-score games, 26.9 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Browns win in replays (regular season).

2026 +0.6 1–0

2025 +0.3 3–6

2024 +2.0 3–4

2023 +2.6 6–2

2022 −2.9 2–6

2021 −1.1 5–6

2020 +1.2 7–2

2019 −0.6 2–4

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	1–0	0.4 of 1	+0.6	1–1
2025	3–6	2.7 of 9	+0.3	5–12
2024	3–4	1.0 of 7	+2.0	3–14
2023	6–2	3.4 of 8	+2.6	11–6
2022	2–6	4.9 of 8	−2.9	7–10
2021	5–6	6.1 of 11	−1.1	8–9
2020	7–2	5.8 of 9	+1.2	11–5
2019	2–4	2.6 of 6	−0.6	6–10

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 2	@ Buccaneers	W 23–19	43%	+57

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Cleveland Browns, every season