One-score games · decided by 8 points or fewer

The Browns in one-score games

The Browns are 5–2 in one-score games in 2026 so far, after 3–6 in 2025. Replayed with the same day’s form, they win 3.3 of those 7. Since 2019: 33–32 in 65 one-score games, 29.4 wins in replays.

A good record in close games looks like clutch. It rarely lasts: from 2019 to 2025, a team’s win rate in one-score games carried into the next season at a correlation of 0.12, against 0.39 for its overall record. How often a team wins those games in replays says what its play was worth.

Close-game luck by season

One-score wins minus how many of those games the Browns win in replays (regular season).

2026 +1.7 5–2

2025 +0.3 3–6

2024 +2.1 3–4

2023 +2.7 6–2

2022 −2.5 2–6

2021 −1.2 5–6

2020 +1.1 7–2

2019 −0.5 2–4

Season	One-score record	Replay wins in those games	Close-game luck	Overall record
2026	5–2	3.3 of 7	+1.7	5–4
2025	3–6	2.7 of 9	+0.3	5–12
2024	3–4	0.9 of 7	+2.1	3–14
2023	6–2	3.3 of 8	+2.7	11–6
2022	2–6	4.5 of 8	−2.5	7–10
2021	5–6	6.2 of 11	−1.2	8–9
2020	7–2	5.9 of 9	+1.1	11–5
2019	2–4	2.5 of 6	−0.5	6–10

2026 one-score games

Week	Game	Result	Wins the replay	Luck index
Week 2	@ Buccaneers	W 23–19	59%	+41
Week 3	vs Panthers	W 21–18	8%	+92
Week 4	vs Steelers	W 27–24	39%	+61
Week 5	@ Jets	L 12–17	15%	−15
Week 6	vs Ravens	W 13–10	76%	+24
Week 7	@ Titans	W 27–24	84%	+16
Week 9	@ Saints	L 22–23	51%	−51

Every team’s one-score record, 2026 · Cleveland Browns, every season