2025-26 season · final
Anaheim Ducks, 2025-26: game by game
The Ducks went 43–33–6 (92 points) in 2025-26; replayed with only the luck redrawn, their play was worth 83.5 points. Luck added 8.5: the 8th-luckiest team in the league. In one-goal games they went 24–12; in overtime 9–6, in the shootout 8–0.
Playoffs: 6–6.
Every game
How often the Ducks win each game when it’s replayed with the way both teams played, and the luck index: 100 × (the result − that number).
| Date | Game | Result | Wins the replay | Luck index | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | @ Kraken | L 1–3 | 45% | −45 | |
| Oct 11, 2025 | @ Sharks | W 7–6 | 71% | +29 | OT |
| Oct 14, 2025 | vs Penguins | W 4–3 | 59% | +41 | |
| Oct 16, 2025 | vs Hurricanes | L 1–4 | 33% | −33 | |
| Oct 19, 2025 | @ Blackhawks | L 1–2 | 54% | −54 | OT |
| Oct 21, 2025 | @ Predators | W 5–2 | 75% | +25 | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | @ Bruins | W 7–5 | 44% | +56 | |
| Oct 25, 2025 | @ Lightning | L 3–4 | 27% | −27 | |
| Oct 28, 2025 | @ Panthers | W 3–2 | 31% | +69 | SO |
| Oct 31, 2025 | vs Red Wings | W 5–2 | 41% | +59 | |
| Nov 2, 2025 | vs Devils | W 4–1 | 64% | +36 | |
| Nov 4, 2025 | vs Panthers | W 7–3 | 65% | +35 | |
| Nov 6, 2025 | @ Stars | W 7–5 | 46% | +54 | |
| Nov 8, 2025 | @ Golden Knights | W 4–3 | 36% | +64 | OT |
| Nov 9, 2025 | vs Jets | W 4–1 | 57% | +43 | |
| Nov 11, 2025 | @ Avalanche | L 1–4 | 40% | −40 | |
| Nov 13, 2025 | @ Red Wings | L 3–6 | 47% | −47 | |
| Nov 15, 2025 | @ Wild | L 0–2 | 38% | −38 | |
| Nov 17, 2025 | vs Mammoth | W 3–2 | 55% | +45 | OT |
| Nov 19, 2025 | vs Bruins | W 4–3 | 51% | +49 | |
| Nov 20, 2025 | vs Senators | L 2–3 | 31% | −31 | |
| Nov 22, 2025 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–3 | 47% | +53 | OT |
| Nov 26, 2025 | vs Canucks | L 4–5 | 56% | −56 | |
| Nov 28, 2025 | vs Kings | W 5–4 | 52% | +48 | SO |
| Nov 30, 2025 | @ Blackhawks | L 3–5 | 46% | −46 | |
| Dec 1, 2025 | @ Blues | W 4–1 | 38% | +62 | |
| Dec 3, 2025 | vs Mammoth | L 0–7 | 38% | −38 | |
| Dec 5, 2025 | vs Capitals | W 4–3 | 57% | +43 | SO |
| Dec 7, 2025 | vs Blackhawks | W 7–1 | 94% | +6 | |
| Dec 9, 2025 | @ Penguins | W 4–3 | 17% | +83 | SO |
| Dec 11, 2025 | @ Islanders | L 2–5 | 44% | −44 | |
| Dec 13, 2025 | @ Devils | L 1–4 | 43% | −43 | |
| Dec 15, 2025 | @ Rangers | W 4–1 | 49% | +51 | |
| Dec 16, 2025 | @ Blue Jackets | L 3–4 | 44% | −44 | OT |
| Dec 19, 2025 | vs Stars | L 3–8 | 42% | −42 | |
| Dec 20, 2025 | vs Blue Jackets | W 4–3 | 59% | +41 | |
| Dec 22, 2025 | vs Kraken | L 1–3 | 76% | −76 | |
| Dec 27, 2025 | @ Kings | L 1–6 | 38% | −38 | |
| Dec 29, 2025 | vs Sharks | L 4–5 | 79% | −79 | |
| Dec 31, 2025 | vs Lightning | L 3–4 | 52% | −52 | OT |
| Jan 2, 2026 | vs Wild | L 2–5 | 34% | −34 | |
| Jan 5, 2026 | @ Capitals | L 4–7 | 54% | −54 | |
| Jan 6, 2026 | @ Flyers | L 2–5 | 23% | −23 | |
| Jan 8, 2026 | @ Hurricanes | L 2–5 | 38% | −38 | |
| Jan 10, 2026 | @ Sabres | L 3–5 | 42% | −42 | |
| Jan 13, 2026 | vs Stars | W 3–1 | 57% | +43 | |
| Jan 16, 2026 | @ Kings | W 3–2 | 36% | +64 | SO |
| Jan 17, 2026 | vs Kings | W 2–1 | 54% | +46 | OT |
| Jan 19, 2026 | vs Rangers | W 5–3 | 55% | +45 | |
| Jan 21, 2026 | @ Avalanche | W 2–1 | 17% | +83 | SO |
| Jan 23, 2026 | @ Kraken | W 4–2 | 59% | +41 | |
| Jan 25, 2026 | @ Flames | W 4–3 | 35% | +65 | OT |
| Jan 26, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 4–7 | 50% | −50 | |
| Jan 29, 2026 | @ Canucks | L 0–2 | 52% | −52 | |
| Feb 1, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–3 | 41% | +59 | |
| Feb 3, 2026 | vs Kraken | W 4–2 | 70% | +30 | |
| Feb 25, 2026 | vs Oilers | W 6–5 | 43% | +57 | |
| Feb 27, 2026 | vs Jets | W 5–4 | 49% | +51 | OT |
| Mar 1, 2026 | vs Flames | W 3–2 | 49% | +51 | SO |
| Mar 3, 2026 | vs Avalanche | L 1–5 | 52% | −52 | |
| Mar 4, 2026 | vs Islanders | W 5–1 | 44% | +56 | |
| Mar 6, 2026 | vs Canadiens | W 6–5 | 52% | +48 | SO |
| Mar 8, 2026 | vs Blues | L 0–4 | 21% | −21 | |
| Mar 10, 2026 | @ Jets | W 4–1 | 62% | +38 | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | @ Maple Leafs | L 4–6 | 55% | −55 | |
| Mar 14, 2026 | @ Senators | L 0–2 | 53% | −53 | |
| Mar 15, 2026 | @ Canadiens | W 4–3 | 53% | +47 | |
| Mar 18, 2026 | vs Flyers | L 2–3 | 34% | −34 | OT |
| Mar 20, 2026 | @ Mammoth | W 4–1 | 35% | +65 | |
| Mar 22, 2026 | vs Sabres | W 6–5 | 55% | +45 | OT |
| Mar 24, 2026 | @ Canucks | W 5–3 | 52% | +48 | |
| Mar 26, 2026 | @ Flames | W 3–2 | 54% | +46 | OT |
| Mar 28, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 2–4 | 40% | −40 | |
| Mar 30, 2026 | vs Maple Leafs | L 4–5 | 51% | −51 | OT |
| Apr 1, 2026 | @ Sharks | L 3–4 | 58% | −58 | |
| Apr 3, 2026 | vs Blues | L 2–6 | 46% | −46 | |
| Apr 4, 2026 | vs Flames | L 3–5 | 66% | −66 | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | vs Predators | L 0–5 | 67% | −67 | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | vs Sharks | W 6–1 | 71% | +29 | |
| Apr 12, 2026 | vs Canucks | L 3–4 | 72% | −72 | OT |
| Apr 14, 2026 | @ Wild | L 2–3 | 67% | −67 | |
| Apr 16, 2026 | @ Predators | W 5–4 | 79% | +21 | |
| Apr 21, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 3–4 | 37% | −37 | |
| Apr 23, 2026 | @ Oilers | W 6–4 | 42% | +58 | |
| Apr 25, 2026 | vs Oilers | W 7–4 | 64% | +36 | |
| Apr 27, 2026 | vs Oilers | W 4–3 | 62% | +38 | OT |
| Apr 29, 2026 | @ Oilers | L 1–4 | 41% | −41 | |
| May 1, 2026 | vs Oilers | W 5–2 | 58% | +42 | |
| May 5, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 1–3 | 50% | −50 | |
| May 7, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | W 3–1 | 57% | +43 | |
| May 9, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | L 2–6 | 26% | −26 | |
| May 11, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | W 4–3 | 58% | +42 | |
| May 13, 2026 | @ Golden Knights | L 2–3 | 41% | −41 | OT |
| May 15, 2026 | vs Golden Knights | L 1–5 | 41% | −41 |
Game by game
The luck index of each game, in order. Right: luckier than the play. Left: unluckier.
Where the luck came from
Luck over the regular season by kind, in goals of margin at the fitted luck shares; an overtime or shootout result counts two. Positive: in the Ducks’ favor.
| Kind | Goals |
|---|---|
| Shootout | +8.0 |
| Empty-net goals | +4.5 |
| Overtime | +2.9 |
| Shooting | −9.2 |
| Goaltending | −12.2 |