Rams 18 
Packers 32 Deserved · Packers win 86% of replays 2020 NFL season · January 16, 2021–January 17
Divisional round 2020: who deserved to win
Every winner of Divisional round earned it. The closest call: the Buccaneers won 30–20 and take 56% of replays.
The line on each card fills with how often the loser wins the replay: the fuller, the more luck decided it. Outlined: the winner was outplayed.
Rams 18 Packers 32 Deserved · Packers win 86% of replays 
Ravens 3 
Bills 17 Deserved · Bills win 85% of replays 
Browns 17 
Chiefs 22 Deserved · Chiefs win 86% of replays 
Buccaneers 30 
Saints 20 Coin flip · Buccaneers win 56% of replays Luck ranking, divisional round
Every team’s luck index this round: 100 × (the result − how often they win the replay). A loss in a game a team wins 9 times in 10 scores −90.
| # | Team | Game | Wins the replay | Luck index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buccaneers | W 30–20 @ Saints | 56% | +44 |
| 2 | Bills | W 17–3 vs Ravens | 85% | +15 |
| 3 | Packers | W 32–18 vs Rams | 86% | +14 |
| 4 | Chiefs | W 22–17 vs Browns | 86% | +14 |
| 5 | Browns | L 17–22 @ Chiefs | 14% | −14 |
| 6 | Rams | L 18–32 @ Packers | 14% | −14 |
| 7 | Ravens | L 3–17 @ Bills | 15% | −15 |
| 8 | Saints | L 20–30 vs Buccaneers | 44% | −44 |